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    • National Hurricane Center monitors 3 storms
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    National Hurricane Center monitors 3 storms

    Vaseline Posted on

    According to the National Hurricane Center, there is less than a 45% chance of the storms developing. One storm has a near 0% chance of developing in the next 48 hours.

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    The 2024 hurricane season has been relatively quiet so far, but the National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical disturbances with a low to moderate chance of developing after Labor Day weekend.

    The three tropical systems could form in the North Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, according to a tropical weather forecast from the National Hurricane Center. They are located near the following locations:

    • Northwestern Gulf of Mexico, just off the coast of Upper Texas
    • Close to the Lesser Antilles and the Caribbean Sea
    • Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean, over West Africa

    According to the National Hurricane Center, the storms have not yet been named and there is less than a 45% chance they will develop in the next seven days.

    Are there more hurricanes coming? Are the tropics beginning to stir after a lull in the Atlantic hurricane season?

    Atlantic Storm Tracker

    Storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico

    The storm off the coast of Texas is expected to move inland on Tuesday, but the storm has not yet developed into a tropical storm or hurricane.

    According to the National Hurricane Center, it is expected to “swing along the coast for the next few days.” It will likely cause thunderstorms along the Texas and Louisiana coasts.

    If it remains in the water, slow development is possible. But regardless of its formation, heavy rains can cause flash flooding along the Louisiana coast and the upper Texas coast.

    There is a 10% chance that it will develop within 48 hours, and a 10% chance that it will develop within seven days.

    Tropical wave near Lesser Antilles, Caribbean Sea

    A tropical wave located hundreds of miles away from the Lesser Antilles, an archipelago in the Caribbean, is expected to move westward and reach the archipelago on Monday, before crossing the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.

    Parts of the islands could experience “gale force winds” and heavy rainfall on Monday, the National Hurricane Center said.

    The chances of the storm developing in the next 7 days are slim. A tropical depression could form later in the week as conditions “become more favorable for development” as the storm moves further.s over the central and western Caribbean Sea.

    There is a 10% chance of it developing within 48 hours, and a 40% chance of it developing within seven days.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean, over West Africa

    The storm is expected to move away from the African coast on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Conditions may cause the storm to develop slowly throughout the week as it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

    The chance of the storm developing is still small: the chance of it developing within 48 hours is almost 0% and the chance of it developing within seven days is 20%.

    Weather forecasters track multiple tropical waves

    The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring three tropical waves:

    • A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic Ocean moved to the west.
    • A tropical wave in the central atlantic ocean moved westward. Scattered moderate convection was observed.
    • A tropical wave in the Western Caribbean and the Pacific Ocean crossing moved westward. The tropical wave extends across southeastern Mexico through El Salvador and into the eastern Pacific. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are present along the Pacific coast of Central America.

    How active is the 2024 hurricane season?

    In August, Hurricane Ernesto hit Bermuda, bringing life-threatening waves and rip currents to the US East Coast.

    In July, we saw our first Category 5 hurricane when Hurricane Beryl caused “catastrophic damage” and 20 deaths when it slammed into multiple islands in the Caribbean. According to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, Hurricane Beryl has a preliminary death toll of 25 since it entered the U.S. and tore through Texas, Louisiana and Vermont.

    “Atmospheric and oceanic conditions have set the stage for an extremely active hurricane season, which could be among the busiest on record,” NOAA’s website said.

    In 2024, there could be 17-24 named storms in the Atlantic Ocean. About eight to 13 of those could become hurricanes, while four to seven could become major hurricanes with winds over 111 mph.

    Normally, there are about 14 named storms. Seven have become hurricanes and three have become major hurricanes during the season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.

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