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    • When is the first day of fall? Old Farmer’s Almanac 2024 fall forecast
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    When is the first day of fall? Old Farmer’s Almanac 2024 fall forecast

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    You may have noticed that some leaves are changing color and falling off. You may have noticed that the sun is now setting around 7:30 p.m. You may have noticed that the temperatures are a little cooler, especially in the morning.

    These are signs that autumn is coming. But when does autumn actually start? And what kind of weather can we expect?

    More: 5 Best Fall Foliage Hikes Without Crowds in the US: Western NC Waterfall Trail Picked by Backpacker

    When is the first day of autumn?

    The first day of fall, also called the autumnal equinox, is Sunday, September 22 at 8:44 a.m. (Eastern Time).

    Although the equinox is known as the astronomical beginning of the season, there is another method used to measure the change in seasons. The meteorological starting points of seasons are based on the annual temperature cycle and the 12-month calendar.

    By this definition, each season begins on the first of a given month and lasts for three months. This means that meteorological summer ended on August 31 and autumn began on September 1, according to The Old Farmer’s Almanac.

    What is the autumnal equinox?

    The Almanac explains that during the autumnal equinoxday and night are about equal in length, each lasting about 12 hours.

    More: This Western North Carolina Apple Orchard Is Voted Top 10 in the Country: What to Know, Full Rankings

    What does equinox mean?

    The word equinox is derived from Latin. Aequus (equal) and nox (night) directly describe the event that is seen twice a year at the beginning of autumn and spring.

    When will it get cooler in North Carolina?

    The Old Farmer’s Almanac has been predicting the weather since its founding in 1792. The Almanac’s long-range weather forecasts provide 12-month forecasts for the entire country.

    The Almanac is predicting below-average temperatures for western North Carolina and the entire state. As for the specifics of the forecast, Accuweather’s month-long forecast for September in the Asheville area showed high temperatures starting in the mid-80s and dropping to the low 70s by the end of the month.

    Temperatures in October are gradually cooler, with highs ranging from around 21 degrees Celsius at the beginning of the month to around 17 degrees Celsius at the end of the month.

    More: These 4 places in Western NC were named among Southern Living’s best fall getaways in the South: See all 20

    How much rain will fall in North Carolina this fall?

    In terms of precipitation, the Old Farmer’s Almanac is predicting above-average amounts in WNC this fall. So far, Accuweather has predicted rain for three days in September and seven days in October.

    For the rest of the state, the Almanac predicts near-average precipitation. As always, this outlook is subject to change as weather events unfold.

    How does the Old Farmer’s Almanac make predictions?

    The Old Farmer’s Almanac uses a “secret formula” to predict the weather. Its website says it uses solar patterns and historical weather conditions with current solar activity to make predictions. It also says it uses three disciplines to make long-term predictions:

    1. Solar science, the study of sunspots and other solar activity.
    2. Climatology, the study of prevailing weather patterns.
    3. Meteorology, the study of the atmosphere.

    More: 7 Unique North Carolina Traditions, Including 3 in WNC: Check Out the List and Make Your Plans

    How accurate is the Old Farmer’s Almanac?

    According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac, the accuracy of the predictions is 80%, but a study shows that the predictions are only correct 52% of the time.

    Iris Seaton is the trending news reporter for the Asheville Citizen Times, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach her at [email protected].

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