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See map, forecast and status
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See map, forecast and status

Hurricane Milton has exploded into a monster storm as it sucks its natural fuel, warm water, into the Gulf of Mexico.

The National Hurricane Center had warned that Milton was likely to develop into a major hurricane, defined by minimum sustained winds of 110 miles per hour, and its status was confirmed at 8 a.m. Monday.

On Monday, the NHC said the storm had increased to a “potentially catastrophic” Category 5. After bouncing between a Category 4 and 5 storm on Tuesday, the storm was downgraded again to a Category 4 on Wednesday morning with sustained winds of up to 155 miles (255 km). /you.

NBC News forecasters said the storm could weaken back to a Category 3 before making landfall on Florida’s west coast late Wednesday or early Thursday.

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The storm is expected to make landfall between St. Petersburg and Sarasota, forecasters say.

Storm threats

Federal forecasters said Milton would bring life-threatening storm surges along nearly the entire west coast of Florida, while also causing flash flooding and producing destructive winds, initially forecast at 110 mph and higher, near the center, with hurricane-force winds spreading from there stretched out. about 30 miles.

That radius could double before landfall, NBC News forecasters said.

Rain and isolated tornadoes were forecast for areas of the Florida peninsula on Wednesday evening, with the storm moving east and into the open Atlantic Ocean on Thursday.

Coastal and inland cities including Tampa, Orlando, Daytona Beach, Sarasota, Fort Myers and Naples are at risk of significant impacts, including wind-induced power outages, flash flooding and storm surge flooding, NBC News forecasters said.

Up to 20 centimeters of rain was forecast, with storm surges of up to 4.5 meters possible for coastal cities, they said.

Milton’s Rare Origin

Milton’s meteoric rise has shocked a Southeast region still recovering from Hurricane Helene, which made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region on September 26 and killed more than 230 people in six states.

The latest hurricane is a rare product of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, not the Caribbean or the Atlantic Ocean.

Milton began as Tropical Depression 14, in the Gulf Bay of Campeche, sheltered behind the west coast of Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula.

A hurricane that follows that path, from Campeche Bay to Florida, is exceptionally rare; the last time this happened was in 1867.