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UNLV vs. Utah State Prediction and Best Bets – NCAAF Week 7 Picks
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UNLV vs. Utah State Prediction and Best Bets – NCAAF Week 7 Picks

The UNLV Rebels have one of the most explosive offenses, but their defense is seriously lacking. Expect this to put a lot of points on the board.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

October 11, 2024 • 5:56 PM ET

• 4 minutes reading

Tonight features a Mountain West Conference Homecoming clash between the UNLV Rebels and the Utah State Aggies.

The Rebels’ 4-1 start is their best since 1984, and my UNLV vs. predictions Utah State expects both groups to light up the Maverik Stadium scoreboard.

Read on as I explain why in my free college football picks for Friday, October 21.

UNLV vs Utah State prediction and best bet

My best choice
First half Over 34.5 (-110 at bet365)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
If scoring points is all the UNLV Rebels have to do, they would be one of the best teams in the country.

The 41 points scored against Syracuse marked the third time in five games that UNLV has scored at least 41+. It’s averaging 5.7 yards per rushing attempt, and All-American wideout Ricky White III has three 100+ yard receiving games.

The rebels encounter a Utah State Stop Unit that stops no one. The Aggies are averaging 428 yards and 41 ppg, with most of those yards coming through the air (266.5), with another 216 rushing ypg.

The Rebels can score the football, but so can Utah State. Iowa transfer QB Spencer Petras is starting to get comfortable on offense, and the Aggies scored 21+ in four of their five games this season.

He will face what seemed like a stout UNLV defense until Kyle McCord and Syracuse showed up. McCord threw for 355 yards and three touchdowns against last week, and Petras is coming off a huge 372 yards, three touchdowns against Boise State.

The Rebels’ rushing defense was decent, but so was the Aggies’ ground game. They are averaging 140 rushing yards at home, and senior RB Rahsul Faison has three straight nights of over 100 rushing yards, including 109 yards in last week’s loss to the Broncos.

The Homecoming crowd should see plenty of offense from both sides and a high-scoring first half of Mountain West football.

UNLV vs. Utah State same-game parlay (SGP)

DraftKings logo

First half More than 34.5 points

Utah State Team Total Over 20.5

UNLV-19

I think the Utah State Homecoming crowd will see a lot of scoring in this game, with UNLV covering the 19-point spread.

The Aggies can score the football. They scored at least 21+ in four of their five games, including 21 points against a tough Utah defense. The UNLV defense has been decent, but was exposed by McCord last week, and the Rebels’ red zone defense has already surrendered a dozen TDs.

That should give Utah State Over the team total, but I don’t believe it will help them cover the 19-point spread. Utah State is 1-4-0 ATS and meets a UNLV squad with a 4-1-0 ATS record.

Learn how to parlay on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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UNLV vs Utah State odds

UNLV vs Utah State live odds

Opening odds UNLV vs. Utah State

  • UNLV vs. Utah State spread: Utah State +18.5 (-110)
  • UNLV vs. Utah State Moneyline: UNLV -1,000, Utah State +650
  • UNLV vs. Utah State over/under: 64.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

UNLV vs. Utah State spread and over/under analysis

  • UNLV is 2-0-0 ATS as a road team and needs a huge win. The opening -18.5 is still available, but -19 (-110) is the consensus.
  • Utah State is just 1-4-0 ATS and 1-2-0 ATS as a home team. The Aggies’ poor ATS record is why the number has jumped to +19 (-110) at most outlets.
  • The Over/Under numbers peaked after the 64.5 openers. Three of the Rebels’ five games have gone over that number, while the Aggies are 3-2-0 on the season.

UNLV vs Utah State betting trend to know

The Aggies have reached the first-half Over game total in five of their last six home games. Find more college football betting odds for UNLV vs. Utah State.

UNLV vs Utah State game information

Location: Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT
Date: Friday 10-11, 2024
Kick-off: 9:00 PM ET
TV: CBSSN

UNLV vs Utah State latest injuries

UNLV versus Utah weather

Keep an eye on game conditions with our College Football weather information.

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