The Chicago Bears (3-2) are in the midst of a three-game winning streak heading to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) in the 2024 NFL London Games. Now entering Week 6 is underway, Sunday’s first game features a steadily improving Caleb Williams taking on a struggling Jaguars team to start the season.

The line for this game opened at Bears -2, but dropped to -1 at the start of Sunday. The showdown in London starts at 9:30 am ET, with the total standing at 44.5. ESPN’s Football Power Index favors the Bears to cover the spread and gives Chicago a 60.3% chance to win outright.

Betting analysts Tyler Fulghum and Eric Moody break down their favorite bets for Sunday morning’s match.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Bears -1
Money line: Bears (-120), Jaguars (Even)
Top/Bottom: 44.5

Distribution over the first half: Bears -0.5 (+105), Jaguars +0.5 (-130)
Moneyline first half: Bears (-120), Jaguars (-105)
Contributes total points: 22.5 (over -115/under -115)
Total Jaguars points: 21.5 (over -115/under -115)

The props

Pass

Caleb Williams total passing yards: 249.5 (over +105/under -135)
Williams total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +105/under -135)
Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: 224.5 (over -135/under +105)
Lawrence’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +115/under -145)

Rush

D’Andre Swift total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -105/under -125)
Travis Etienne Jr. total rushing yards: 44.5 (over -135/under +105)
Tank Bigsby total rushing yards: 39.5 (over -135/under +105)
Roschon Johnson total rushing yards: 24.5 (over -120/under -110)
Williams total rushing yards: 19.5 (over -120/under -110)

Received

DJ Moore total receiving yards: 69.5 (over even/under -130)
Brian Thomas Jr. total receiving yards: 59.5 (over even/under -130)
Christian Kirk total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -125/under -105)
Keenan Allen total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -115/under -115)
Evan Engram total receiving yards: 39.5 (over -110/under -120)
Rome Odunze total receiving yards: 39.5 (over -125/under -105)
Gabe Davis total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -120/under -110)
Cole Kmet total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -135/under +105)
Swift total receiving yards: 19.5 (over -135/under +105)
Etienne Jr. total receiving yards: 19.5 (over +105/under -135)

Choices for the game

DJ Moore 60+ receiving yards

Tyler Fulghum: The Jaguars are getting shredded by opposing WRs. The opposing team’s leading receiver has racked up at least 70 yards in every game Jacksonville has played this season. They’ve already allowed four WRs to go over 100 yards. The Bears’ offense is starting to find its footing after five starts in Caleb Williams’ career. I think this is another spot where we can trust Williams and his No. 1 WR to do a good job on Sunday.

Trevor Lawrence under 224.5 passing yards.

Eric Moody: Lawrence posted a season-high 371 yards against the Colts last week, but he faced almost no pressure (only 12 of his 49 dropbacks saw any heat). Now he faces the Bears, who rank second in pass rush wins and have a secondary that allows just 174.0 passing yards per game. Lawrence has averaged 182.2 yards from weeks 1 through 4. This could be a tough game for the Jaguars quarterback against the best secondary defense he has ever faced.

Bears -1.0.

Eric Moody: The Jaguars head to London for back-to-back games after earning their first win against the Colts in Week 5. But this Jacksonville offense has struggled to find rhythm all season. Now the Jags face a ferocious Bears defense that ranks seventh in total yards allowed and fifth in points allowed per game. On the other hand, Caleb Williams from Chicago is growing before our eyes. He has thrown for over 300 yards in two of his past three games, showing improvement against the blitz and on deep throws (over 15 air yards). The Jaguars are 3-8 against the spread in their last 11, while the Bears are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Bears have been favorites for five straight games (3-0 ATS this season).

• This is the first time since 2021 that the Bears have been favored in a game outside of Chicago (-2.5 at Lions in Week 12).

• The Bears are 2-10-1 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 under Matt Eberflus.

• Five straight games in London have gone under the total (4-0 since the start of last season).

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