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NOAA winter forecast maps 2024-25 show what to expect in Ohio
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NOAA winter forecast maps 2024-25 show what to expect in Ohio

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Ohio’s winter could be milder this year, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The Climate Prediction Center has released its winter outlook for January, February and March 2025.

The Climate Prediction Center’s annual U.S. winter outlook report predicts that strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country. The US has a 74% chance of La Niña conditions, while there is a 40% chance of this being a moderate event.

According to the National Weather Service, La Niña events are the periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean. This period usually happens every 3 to 5 years, but can also occur occasionally. Last year, the US experienced El Niño conditions, which are the opposite of La Niña, meaning the ocean is warming to above-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

During La Niña events, the northern part of the United States typically experiences colder and stormier winter conditions, while the south is warmer and less stormy.

What are the NOAA forecasts for Ohio this fall?

In western Ohio, including near metro Cincinnati and the Tri-State area, there is a 33 to 40% chance that temperatures will be warmer than normal, according to the report.

The rest of the state, including Columbus, Cleveland and Akron in the eastern and southern parts of Ohio, are also leaning above with even warmer expected temperatures, with forecasts of 40-50% above average.

In terms of precipitation, Ohio is expected to experience above-normal precipitation. Areas to the west, including Cincinnati and Dayton, will see a higher chance of precipitation, at 50-60% above average. The northern, eastern and southern portions of the Buckeye State could see a 40-50% greater chance of precipitation this winter.