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    • How much snow will NY get this winter? This is what NOAA predicts
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    How much snow will NY get this winter? This is what NOAA predicts

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    What will this winter be like in New York? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s annual U.S. Winter Outlook report from the Climate Prediction Center predicts that strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country. The US has a 74% chance of La Niña conditions, while there is a 40% chance of this being a moderate event.

    According to the National Weather Service, La Niña events are the periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean. This period usually happens every 3 to 5 years, but can also occur occasionally. Last year, the US experienced El Niño conditions, which is the opposite of La Niña, meaning the ocean is warming to above-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

    NOAA fall forecast for New York

    • The National Weather Service predicts a 40% to 50% chance of above-average temperatures across New York State this fall, for October, November and December.
    • Most of New York State has a 33% to 40% chance of above-average precipitation this fall.
    • The New York City metro area and Long Island have “equal chances” of normal precipitation, meaning no specific trend is favored in either direction. This indicates that there is no great chance of wetter or drier conditions in these areas this fall.

    NOAA winter forecast for New York

    • The National Weather Service predicts a 40% to 50% chance of above-average temperatures for most of New York State this winter, for December, January and February.
    • Western and central New York, as well as parts of the Adirondacks, have a 40% to 50% chance of above-average precipitation during the same period.
    • The eastern part of the state, including the Catskills region, Albany and much of the Hudson Valley, falls within the 33% to 40% range for potential above-average precipitation.
    • The New York City metro area and Long Island have “equal chances” of normal precipitation, meaning no specific trend is favored.

    Will New York experience blizzards and blizzards this winter?

    The NOAA winter forecast does not specify how much precipitation will fall in the form of rain, snow or ice, only that it is more or less likely overall. Snow forecasts depend on the strength and track of winter storms, which typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, according to Weather Service meteorologists.

    Farmer’s Almanac forecast for winter 2024-2025 in New York

    According to the Farmer’s Almanac, a mix of rainy and snowy weather is expected to occur this winter. The August publication predicted a season of “rapid-fire storms that will bring both rain and snow, with little respite in between.”

    While much of the country is expected to experience a wet and mild winter, the coldest temperatures are forecast in the Great Lakes region, not far from New York. The Empire State is located in the Northeast and New England region, where the Farmers’ Almanac predicts above-normal amounts of winter precipitation and near-above-normal temperatures.

    Snow will be most common in inland and mountainous areas, while sleet and rain will be more common near the coast, especially near and along the Interstate 95 corridor, the report said.

    Contributions: USA Today Network

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