The New York Yankees And Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 ALCS Friday. Progressive Field’s first pitch is scheduled for 8:08 PM ET (TBS/truTV/Max). Let’s round up the MLB odds from BetMGM Sportsbook Yankees vs. Guardians chances and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALCS: Yankees lead 2-1; Yankees won the regular season series 4-2

New York dropped the first game of the series on Thursday with a 7-5 loss in the tenth inning as a -102 underdog. C.F Aaron Judge (1-for-5, 2 RBIs) and DH Giancarlo Stanton (1-for-3, 1 RBI) hit back-to-back home runs in the 8th inning at All-Star RP Emmanuel Clase to give the Yankees a temporary 4-3 lead.

Trailing 5-3, Guardians RF Johnkensy Noel hit a pinch-hit 2-run HR with 2 outs in the bottom of the ninth to extend the game for Cleveland. With 2 out and 1 on in the bottom of the 10th, 1B David Frits cashed Guardians (-106) tickets with a walk-off 2-run homer to left center field.

Yankees at Guardians predicted starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. The rookie had a 1.19 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 151 2/3 innings.

• Last start: loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 9-4 home setback vs. Pittsburgh Pirates September 28
• 2024 vs. Guardians: 0-0, 1 home start (Aug. 20), 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 3 K in 9-5 loss in 12 innings
• Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 6 H, 10 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Williams (3-10, 4.86 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 over 76 innings.

• Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 loss at St. Louis Cardinals September 22
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1 road start (August 22), 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-0 loss

Yankees vs. Guardians Expectations

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; access the USA TODAY sports scoring and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Rules last updated at 11:10 am ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Guards +1.5 (-175)
• Top/Bottom (O/U): 7.5 (U: -115 | U: -105)

Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 3

Moneyline

PASSAGE.

There’s better value on the Yankees’ run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+145).

New York has had a clear advantage in this series, scoring 5 or more points in every game, while Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer in 2 of the 3.

Cleveland was able to rally behind the home crowd on Thursday, but won’t be able to do the same on Friday. With Gil on the mound, expect the Guardians to compete on offense.

Each of New York’s last three wins came by two or more runs.

Top/Bottom

LEAN ABOUT 7.5 (-115).

The Yankees have a high-powered offense. They have scored 5 or more points in 3 straight games and are 5-3-1 O/U in their last 9.

Cleveland may not be able to keep up on Friday, but expect it to score enough to top the total. It has scored 3 or more points in 4 of its last 5 games.

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