Christmas came early Thursday night for the Cleveland Guardians and their fans as they rallied late to eliminate the New York Yankees and climb back into the ALCS in the process. New York now leads the series 2 games to 1.

David Fry went deep into the 10^e inning launched a 2-run shot off Clay Holmes to get the win for Cleveland, but that was just one of a few big ABs and momentum swings late in the game. An inning earlier, Johnkensy Noel, known as Big Christmas, hit a 2-run homerun with 2 outs in the bottom of the ninth.^e inning off Luke Weaver to tie the game at 5. This came after Cleveland closer Emmanuel Clase served back-to-back home runs to Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton in the 8th inning.^e inning to give the Yankees the lead.

It makes Game 4 Friday night a pivotal game in the series, with Cleveland looking to pull as the Yankees look to all but end the Guardians’ season. Luis Gil makes his 1^st start of the postseason for New York. He will be opposed by Gavin Williams.

Let’s dive a little deeper into Game 3 and find some sweat.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest information on how to catch the first pitch, the expected pitching matchup, recent team performance, player stats and of course our predictions and picks. and the best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Yankees @ Guardians – Game 4

● Date: Thursday, October 18, 2024
● Time: 8:08 PM ET
● Location: Progressive field
● City: Cleveland, OH
● TV/streaming: TBS, TruTV, MAX

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ALCS Game 4 Odds for Yankees @ Guardians

The latest odds from Friday morning:

● Moneyline: Cleveland Guardians (+105), New York Yankees (-125)
● Spread: Guards +1.5 (-165), Yankees -1.5 (+135)
● Total: 8

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Likely starting pitchers for New York @ Cleveland

● Friday’s pitching game (October 18): Luis Gil vs. Gavin Williams

○ Guards: Williams – the right-hander has not appeared in a game since September 22. Was 3-10 with a 4.86 ERA during the regular season, allowing 72 hits and 41 earned runs while striking out 79 batters over the course of 76 innings.

○ Yankees: Gil – the right-hander hasn’t pitched since September 28th. Was 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA during the regular season, allowing 104 hits and 59 earned runs while striking out 171 over the course of 151.2 innings.

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The top betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of ALCS Game 4: Yankees @ Guardians

• All 3 ALCS games have gone OVER the total.
• The Yankees are 3-4 ATS in the postseason.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against the Guardians
• The Guardians are 3-5 ATS and 5-3 OVER this postseason.
• Noel’s HR was his first since August 30th^e.
• Judge has now homered in 3 of his last 5 games at Progressive Field.
• New York and Cleveland have met in the playoffs six times: 1997, 1998, 2007, 2017, 2020 and 2022. The Yankees 4 of 6 series, including the most recent series – the 2022 ALDS, 3 games to 2. Overall, the Yankees are 16-12 against Cleveland in the playoffs.

Playoff histories for Cleveland and New York

• Guards: Cleveland has an all-time record of 64-62. They have appeared in the World Series six times (1920, 1948, 1954,1995, 1997 and 2016) and have lost six times.
• Yankees: The Yankees want to claim their 41st^st AL Wimpel. New York has won 27 World Championships. Their last World Series win was in 2009. They have been to the playoffs 57 times.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats on the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks and predictions for Game 4 of the ALCS between Cleveland and New York

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Our model calculates projections around every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, baseball information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is ready, we place its projection next to the final betting lines so that the game can reach a relative level of confidence for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Friday’s Game 4 between the Guardians and the Yankees:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports recommends a Yankees game on the Moneyline
• Spread: NBC Sports is leaning toward a play on the Yankees on the Run Line
• Total runs: NBC Sports recommends a play with more than 8 total runs

Want even more best MLB betting odds and predictions from our expert staff and tools? View the Expert MLB predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

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