The Week 7 Sunday slate concludes with a primetime matchup featuring Aaron Rodgers, new signing Davante Adams and the New York Jets traveling to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers on “Sunday Night Football.” The Steelers, starting Russell Wilson for the first time this season, enter Sunday’s game with a 4-2 record and in second place in the AFC North (+425), while the Jets are trailing their third straight loss have the back at 2-4, but after trading for Adams on Tuesday saw their Super Bowl odds increase (currently 30-1).

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on AFC’s primetime match, and Ben Solak also offers his top pick for Sunday night.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Jets -2
Money line: Jets (-130), Steelers (+110)
Top/Bottom: 39.5

Distribution over the first half: Jets -0.5 (even), Steelers +0.5 (-130)
Moneyline first half: Jets (-135), Steelers (+105)
Jets total points: O/U 19.5 points (over -130/under even)
Steelers total points: O/U 19.5 points (over -115/under -115)

The props

Pass

Aaron Rodgers total passing yards: 224.5 yards (over -110/under -120)
Rodgers total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +110/under -140)
Russell Wilson total passing yards: 174.5 (over -115/under -115)
Wilson total passing TDs: 0.5 (more than -210/less than +160)

Rush

Breece Hall total rushing yards: 59.5 (over -135/under +105)
Najee Harris total rushing yards: 59.5 (over +115/under -145)
Jaylen Warren total rushing yards: 19.5 (over -140/under +110)

Received

George Pickens total receiving yards: 59.5(Over -TBD/Under -TBD)
Davante Adams total receiving yards: 59.5 (more than to be determined/below to be determined)
Garrett Wilson total receiving yards: 59.5 (over +110/under -140)
Pat Freiermuth total receiving yards: 34.5 (over +105/under -135)
Allen Lazard total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -110/under -120)
Hall total receiving yards: 29.5 (over +105/under -135)
Tyler Conklin total receiving yards: 19.5 (over -105/under -125)
Warren total receiving yards: 14.5 (over -125/under -105)
Najee Harris total receiving yards: 14.5 (more than -115/less than -115)

Ben Solak’s choice

Jets -2 at Steelers

While the Jets still lost to the Buffalo Bills on Monday night, their offense showed signs of improvement in the first game under new play-caller Todd Downing and new head coach Jeff Ulbrich. Now Davante Adams is coming to town, and I think the success will continue even in the face of a stingy Steelers pass rush. Expect Rodgers to get rid of the ball very quickly, with short routes and running backs making up the bulk of his targets to help neutralize that rush. The Jets are desperate for a win and the Steelers are making a QB switch with Russell Wilson. I have to lean Jets here.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• Unders are 32-10 on Sunday Night Football since 2022, including 6-0 this season. All prime-time unders are 81-52-1 during that period.

• The Jets have been underdogs in eleven consecutive meetings against the Steelers, including playoffs. The last time the Jets were favored over the Steelers was in 2003 (winning 6-0 as 3-point favorites). The Jets have played twelve games in Pittsburgh, including playoffs, and have been favored only once (1992: lost 27-10 as a 1.5-point favorite).

• If the Jets close as favorites, it would be the first time since 2020 that a team that has played multiple games under .500 has been favored over a team that has played multiple games above .500 (Chargers -6.5 at Chiefs in week 17). With the exception of the final week of the season, the only time in the last decade that a team with multiple games under .500 was favored over a team with multiple games over .500 was in 2016 (Chargers -2.5 at Texans, Chargers won 21-13). ).

• If the Jets close as underdogs, the Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. Since 2016, the Jets are 18-38-1 ATS as road underdogs and 23-44-1 ATS in all road games.

• The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine primetime games (0-2 ATS in the last two). The Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 primetime games.

• Unders are 13-2 in last 15 regular season meetings.

• The Jets are 0-3 ATS in their last three games. Four of the last five Jets games have been under the total.

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