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Lightning in tough position against Devils marksmen
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Lightning in tough position against Devils marksmen

Join Daily Faceoff’s Nick Martin as he breaks down the best NHL player props Tuesday night.

Jack Hughes over 1.5 points: +160 (sports interaction, play up to +150

The Devils catch the Lightning on a favorable back-to-back spot on Tuesday, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see one of the league’s fastest and most skilled offenses post a lopsided grade in this matchup.

Andrei Vasilevskiy started last night’s game in Toronto and has started every game for Tampa this season. He was pulled midway through the second period, which might tempt Jon Cooper somewhat to play him today, but it still seems more likely that we see Jonas Johansson starting in this match.

Johansson played for a GSAx of -8.9 last season, and he posted an .889 save percentage at the NHL level throughout his career.

I don’t believe the Lightning will be a full-fledged defensive juggernaut this season, and I still believe their lack of depth still holds them back from being a true Cup favorite. This seems like a good place to capitalize on that by targeting the Devils’ ‘second’ line of Hughes, Jesper Bratt and Paul Cotter, as they should benefit from some winnable matchups.

The Devils’ power play has reached 20.2% so far, but looks to be one of the most dangerous units in the league, and Hughes is the one leading the team in touches in 5-on-4 play.

Many people are expecting a 100-point season from Hughes this season, and his early play shouldn’t change anyone’s opinion on that. He hasn’t been overly productive thus far, but that helps give us better numbers for a productive night in a spot where New Jersey has a high projected total.

Cole Silinger Anytime Goalscorer: +410 (sports interaction, play to +390)

Blue Jackets coach Dean Evason looks to shake up his offensive units this game, moving Cole Sillinger to the top line alongside Sean Monahan and Kirill Marchenko.

Whether this move makes sense is debatable, as by taking Yegor Chinakhov off the top line, Evason breaks up a unit that has been completely dominant this season. Monahan, Marchenko and Chinakhov have combined for 18 points in five games and had an expected goal share of 79.6% in 59.9 minutes of even play.

But considering how Monahan and Marchenko have played so far, a skilled offensive player in Sillinger plays an excellent role.

Sillinger will also skate on the Blue Jackets’ top power-play unit, which has a 21.4% success rate this season.

The Leafs have allowed just 13 goals in their first six games, the fewest allowed in the Auston Matthews era. However, the Leafs have allowed 3.70 xGA/60, which is the sixth-highest mark in the NHL.

The eye test tells us that they’ve defended better than that number suggests, but it’s still hard to argue that Anthony Stolarz and his .938 save percentage have helped make the Leafs’ defensive play seem more dominant than it actually is been, and that Stolarz will be too. back up tonight after playing against Tampa yesterday.

The Blue Jackets have a decent chance to surprise and get a decent team total in this game. Given his new role, I see value in backing one of those Sillinger figures at a big number of +410.

Roman Josi more than 3.5 shots on target: +105 (sports interaction, play to -105)

The Predators remain the only NHL team with zero points this season, and even though it’s only their sixth game of the season, this matchup feels like a must-have. In most game scripts, we should see Josi playing huge minutes, and I’m counting on the Preds captain to put in a good performance in this spot.

The Bruins have allowed 29.14 shots against per 60 this season, and 3.42 xGA/60. While they have a high-quality defensive core, their overall squad is no longer likely to have a higher than average share of the overall game.

However, the betting markets haven’t fully adjusted yet, as opposing shooters still have longer-than-average numbers when playing against Boston.

Josi had 11 attempts on goal last time out against Detroit, including nine unblocked attempts. This season he has scored 21.19 shot attempts per 60.

At +105, I see the value in backing Josi to have more than 3.5 shots on target in this match. I will also note that I back the Preds to win this game, and would play anything better than -130.