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Wall Street weighs in on next monster quarter
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Wall Street weighs in on next monster quarter

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) moved higher on Thursday thanks to several positive revelations from the EV maker in its third-quarter report.

From a third-quarter earnings beat and improving margins to improved growth prospects, low-cost EV updates and the rollout of robotaxi, there’s plenty for analysts to chew on for a company whose shares, even including today’s big move, are down this year only 2% have risen.

Bank of America’s John Murphy raised his price target thanks to Tesla’s strong quarter.

“We are raising our EPS estimates slightly due to improved gross margin in 3Q24 due to lower (commodity costs), Cybertruck ramp, fulfillment/cost savings, regular credits and higher volume,” Murphy wrote in a note published Thursday morning. .

Murphy was pleased with strong gross margins in the automotive sector, with Energy and Services (where Tesla sees sales doubling by 2025) exceeding expectations. As a result, Murphy raised his price target from $255 to $265 and maintained the company’s Buy rating.

Looking ahead, Murphy and BofA see a “well-positioned” 2025, with a “second wave of growth” on the horizon for Tesla.

“The end result (from the positive earnings commentary) was that Tesla is gearing up for the next wave of growth,” Murphy said. “(M)anagement expects volumes to increase substantially by 20-30% by 2025. This radical change will likely be fueled by the expected start of production of a more affordable vehicle in the first half of 2025 (more likely in the 2nd half of 2025) and the Cybercab.”

Murphy also noted that Tesla saw an increase in adoption of full self-driving (FSD) following the October 10 Robotaxi event and positive developments with the 4680 battery, which he sees as “the most competitive battery in the US” in terms of costs. level.

Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas drew on CEO Elon Musk’s prediction that Tesla’s volume growth could reach 20% to 30% by 2025, which Musk labeled a “best bet.”

Musk’s goal “clearly depends on the company’s ability to improve affordability through the introduction of lower-cost (next-gen) models, financing offers and enhanced features,” Jonas wrote in a letter to investors.

Morgan Stanley and Jonas now forecast annual growth of 14% (2.07mm units) through 2025, taking the expected fourth quarter delivery total and annualizing it, which equates to approximately 510,000 to 520,000 units delivered in the fourth quarter.

Jonas and the team at Morgan Stanley view Tesla’s quarter as one in which investors focused on lowering vehicle costs and increasing auto industry profitability, rather than trying to counter Tesla’s shift to AI and other ventures appreciate. Tesla remains a “top pick” for Morgan Stanley, with a price target of $310.