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UFC 308: Preliminary picks and predictions
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UFC 308: Preliminary picks and predictions

Rafael Dos Anjos is getting older and Geoff Neal has what it takes to get the decisive victory on Saturday.

Danny Howard - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

October 26, 2024 • 8:17 AM ET

• 4 minutes reading

UFC 308 takes place this weekend at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi and is headlined by Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway.

The preliminary card is also high on drama as Rafael Dos Anjos takes on Geoff Neal and Father Time, and my preliminary UFC 308 predictions expect Neal to be victorious on October 26.

UFC 308 preliminary picks and predictions

Ibo Aslan vs. Raffael Cerqueira
Prediction: Aslan ML (-105 at BET99)
Best bet: Aslan by KO (+140 at BET99)

Abus Magomedov vs. Brunno Ferreira
Prediction: Ferreira ML (+115 at BET99)
Best bet: Ferreira by KO (+250 at BET99)

Geoff Neal vs. Rafael Dos Anjos
Prediction: Neal ML (-310 at BET99)
Best bet: Neal by decision (+110 at BET99)

Click on each fight to go to the full analysis.

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UFC 308 prelims and picks

Ibo Aslan vs Raffael Cerqueira fighting odds

Bet99
Method of victory Aslan Cerqueira
To win outright -105 -120
To win by KO/TKO +140 +165
To win by decision +900 +750
To win by submission +1800 +700
To draw +2500 +2500

Odds from 10-26

Aslan is a chunky but powerful striker who may not be much apart from being an entertaining addition, but he has proven himself far more than Cerqueira.

While Cerqueira enters this fight with an 11-0 record, he built it against terrible regional opposition in Brazil, and he’s in for a rude awakening that could see him hop on the next plane back to Sao Paolo.

Aslan will take the fight straight to Cerqueira, and his heavy strikes should lead to an early stoppage.

Prediction: Aslan Moneyline (-105 at BET99)
Best bet: Aslan by knockout (+140 on BET99)

Abus Magomedov vs. Brunno Ferreira fighting odds

Bet99
Method of victory Magomedov Ferreira
To win outright -154 +125
To win by KO/TKO +210 +270
To win by decision +425 +675
To win by submission +440 +950
To draw +2500 +2500

Odds from 10-25

Unfortunately for Magomedov, he hasn’t shown the “Dagestan magic” that took over the UFC. He has struggled so far, being dominated by Caio Borralho and edged out by Sean Strickland in his biggest tests, while only picking up wins against lesser competition.

Ferreira, on the other hand, is an explosive striker who fights with reckless abandon, often putting himself in danger of a knockout as he chases down one of his own players.

While Magomedov has decent skills, I haven’t seen anything to suggest Ferreira will struggle to close the distance and have a great chance of putting him away.

Prediction: Ferreira Moneyline (-105 at BET99)
Best bet: Ferreira by knockout (+250 at BET99)

Geoff Neal vs. Rafael Dos Anjos battles the odds

Bet99
Method of victory Neal Dos Anjos
To win outright -303 +225
To win by KO/TKO +220 +2000
To win by decision +105 +425
To win by submission +2000 +850
To draw +2500 +2500

Odds from 10-26

This fight between a seasoned veteran and a former champion may not have major divisional implications, but it’s an intriguing matchup nonetheless.

Dos Anjos has bounced between lightweight and welterweight with mixed results, and it’s becoming increasingly clear that he’s rapidly declining, as evidenced by his recent losses to Mateusz Gamrot and Vicente Luque.

On the other hand, Neal is still capable of putting in solid performances against tough opponents, even though he has dropped his last two fights against Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Garry.

While Neal won’t cut it against the welterweight elite, he’s still capable and can’t be blamed for falling short against two potential title contenders. This version of Dos Anjos, on the other hand, doesn’t have much more to offer than that it can take a beating and still go to the extreme.

Prediction: Neal Moneyline (-105 at BET99)
Best bet: Neal wins by decision (-105 on BET99)

Not intended for use in MA.
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