US Conflict Conference on Wednesday evening essentially disappears after this week as November brings us MACtion on Tuesday and Wednesday. But we still have a few more games, including perhaps the game of the year so far in C-USA. Jacksonville State will take on Liberty in the evening’s main event, while Kennesaw State, which just defeated Liberty for the first FBS win in program history, looks for another David-over-Goliath result against Western Kentucky.

Jacksonville State vs. For me, Liberty is the match that is in the spotlight and that is where we start.

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7:00 PM ET (CBS Sports Network)

The Flames played with fire a few times earlier this season and ultimately got burned, losing to the worst team in FBS from a power rating standpoint. Liberty fell 27-24 to Kennesaw State after struggling against FIU in the previous match. This is still a fairly dominant team per game, at least in C-USA action, with 6.4 YPP and only 4.9 YPP allowed. A YPP difference of 1.5 usually leads to more impressive wins and better results.

But this was the fifth-best offense in the country last season when measured by yards per play. Ironically, the defense is better than a yard per play in conference games this year, but the offense is down by about a full yard.

I was planning on going here before last week’s misstep against Liberty. Jacksonville State was dominant in league play, gaining more than 7.7 yards per play. They are almost +2.5 YPP. Liberty clearly represents a huge step forward in the class, but the two teams have played fairly similar conference competition. The big tests for both are against each other, Western Kentucky and Sam Houston State. None of them have played against each other yet.

If you had told me there was a QB I would pick over Kaidon Salter in the conference this season, I would have laughed until it hurt. But that’s exactly what we have here with Tyler Huff, who is responsible for 16 total touchdowns and over 2,000 yards of offense. Huff has an 8/4 TD/INT ratio with a 65.1% completion percentage and 1,406 passing yards to go with 654 rushing yards on 94 attempts.

Salter has a 61% completion percentage with a 10/2 ratio and 1,280 passing yards to his credit, but he has only rushed for 278 yards on 61 attempts. I guess an argument could be made that Jamey Chadwell held back some of the playbook and his team just didn’t take the schedule seriously, but this was such a disappointing Liberty team in a season where they actually had a lot to go for to play. with the extended play-off and the best chance of remaining undefeated as a Group of Five team.

Yet here we are. The caveat with Jacksonville State is that they got blown out by Coastal Carolina and Louisville, plus lost to a pretty bad Eastern Michigan team, before getting on track with four wins over four of the worst FBS teams in the country.

This could be a wake-up call for Jacksonville State. But I also think it took Huff and a lot of transfers some time to get things in order. Huff already has three games with over 101 rushing yards and has recently had games of 176 and 151 here. That extra dimension is the difference for me.

Pick: Jacksonville State +1.5

Other Wednesday match

Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky (-24, 50.5): ESPN2 has this one, as the Owls head to Bowling Green as big underdogs. WKU did get a break with Hunter Watson getting injured for Sam Houston State in their last game, as he went 6-for-9 for 128 yards and two touchdowns early in the game.

WKU clearly has the better offense, allowing 7.2 yards per play in C-USA action so far. Kennesaw State is the only team in the country averaging less than four yards per play, although they can get up to 4.5 yards in conference action. WKU’s defense has allowed 6.6 YPP against during conference play.

My asset assessments point me in the direction of Western Kentucky. I know Kennesaw State beat Liberty, but this is also an Owls team that scored three offensive points against Middle Tennessee and had 234 yards. Kennesaw State has just eight offensive touchdowns. Last week was a great story and a great moment for the program, but I think they get beat here.

Choice: Western Kentucky -24