Europe will have to reconsider its support for Ukraine if Donald Trump is elected, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said on Sunday, because the continent “will not be able to bear the burdens of the war alone.”

Orban is against military aid to Ukraine and has made it clear that he believes Trump shares his views and would negotiate a peace settlement for Ukraine.

The Trump ally said: “We (in Europe) must realize that if there is a president for peace in America, which I not only believe in, but I also read the figures that way, … if what we expect happens. and America becomes pro-peace, then Europe cannot remain pro-war,” Orbán said.

“Europe cannot bear the burden of war alone, and if Americans turn to peace, we must adapt too,” Orbán said.

Europe is nervous about how the outcome of the US elections will affect the war in Ukraine and the continent’s security.

Donald Trump’s campaign has found success in a surprise poll that showed Kamala Harris leading by three points in Iowa, a state previously expected to be a safe state for Republicans.

The Trump campaign released a memo from its chief pollster and top data consultant calling the Des Moines Register poll “a clear outlier” and saying that an Emerson College poll — also released Saturday — showed the state of the better reflected the electorate in Iowa.

The Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey of a similar number of likely voters on November 1 and 2 had a very different result, with Trump leading Harris by 10 points. This poll also has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

The Emerson College survey found that Trump had a strong lead over Harris among men and independents, while Harris performed well among those under 30.

Hugo Lowell

Donald Trump and his many campaign surrogates are engaged in a strategy to publicly raise expectations among their followers, which could create a source of discontent if Kamala Harris were to win, especially if her victory is narrow or pushed over the line by a late victory. wave of Democratic ballots.

“If we could bring God down from heaven and he would be the vote counter, we would win this, we would win California, we would win a lot of states,” Trump said last week in a typically bombast piece. about his prospects.

But inside sources tell the Guardian they are universally nervous about the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, through which most of Trump’s paths to 270 electoral college votes pass. Internal polls show Trump with a lead, but some of those numbers have been so rosy in recent weeks that aides have become wary of their accuracy.

The Trump campaign was also nervous about North Carolina – a state they really need to keep this year – evidenced by Trump’s many trips to the state over the final weekend. Trump had two rallies in North Carolina yesterday and will be there again today and tomorrow.

Read the full piece here

Good morning and welcome to our coverage of the 2024 US presidential election as we enter the final hours before the polls open on Tuesday.

It promises to be a busy day for Donald Trump with appearances in three swing states, and it comes amid a surprising setback in Iowa with a poll showing him trailing Kamala Harris in what was previously expected to be a safe state are for the Republicans.

The Republican candidate will kick off this morning with a rally in Lititz, Pennsylvania, followed by an afternoon event in Kinston, North Carolina, and wrap up the day in Macon, Georgia.

Harris, meanwhile, will head to Michigan later today, where the Democratic hopeful will speak at a campaign rally at Michigan State University in East Lansing.

Last night she broke off the campaign trail to embrace her reputation as a “fun warrior” with a surprise appearance on Saturday Night Live. Harris portrayed herself appearing in a mirror opposite actor Maya Rudolph, who first played her on the show in 2019 and has reprized the role this season.

In case you missed it, you can read David Smith’s fun report here:

In other developments:

• A judge in Georgia has dismissed a Republican lawsuit are trying to prevent counties from opening election offices on Saturdays and Sundays so voters can return their ballots in person. The lawsuit was directed only Fulton County, a Democratic stronghold. Trump wrongly blamed Fulton workers for his loss in the 2020 election in Georgia.

• Americans took to the streets in cities across the country for a period of day of women’s marches. Marches were planned in all 50 states for the eighth annual gathering, which began the day after Trump was inaugurated in 2017.

• Vaccine skeptic Robert F Kennedy Jr could assume something about it control over American health and food safety in a second Trump administration, according to reports Saturday. Kennedy said in a social media post that he would remove fluoride from all public water.