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    • Who will win the presidential race between Harris and Trump? Follow the latest polls
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    Who will win the presidential race between Harris and Trump? Follow the latest polls

    Vaseline Posted on

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    The presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is almost over. With one day until the 2024 general election, here’s what the polls, the odds and one historian have said over the past ten weeks and how they continue to change as we head into Election Day tomorrow, Tuesday, November 5.

    Harris or Trump? Who is winning in the polls and favored by the odds?

    • ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in national polls at 47.9% over Trump at 47% – by 0.7%, again a smaller margin this week. This is compared to Harris over 48.1% compared to Trump 46.7% last week, compared to 48.2% compared to Trump 46.4% two weeks ago, compared to 48.5% compared to Trump 46 .1% three weeks ago, compared to 48.5% versus Trump 45.9% four weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.5% versus Trump 45.8% five weeks ago compared to Harris 48.3% compared to Trump 45.6% six weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% compared to Trump 45.3% seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% compared to Trump 44.4% eight weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% versus Trump 43.9% nine weeks ago, or compared to Harris 47.0% versus Trump 43.7% 10 weeks ago.
    • 270towin shows Harris leading national polls by 1%, compared to 0.7% versus Trump last week, compared to 1.8% versus Trump two weeks ago, compared to 2.5% versus Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.8% compared to Trump four weeks ago, compared to Harris 3.7% compared to Trump five weeks ago, compared to Harris compared to Trump 3% six weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.5% versus Trump seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 0.9% versus Trump eight weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.7% versus Trump nine weeks ago, or compared to Harris 1, 9% compared to Trump 10 weeks ago.
    • realclearpolling shows that betting odds are in Trump’s favor for the second week in a row, with a spread of +0.1 over Harris. This was a reversal from two weeks ago, when Harris was favored with a spread of +0.9 over Trump, compared to +1.4 over Trump three weeks ago, compared to +2 four weeks ago , which were tied, compared to Harris being favored by a spread of +1.8 over Trump five weeks ago, compared to Harris favoring +2.3 over Trump six weeks ago, compared to Harris +2 compared to Trump seven weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.1 compared to Trump eight weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.8 compared to Trump nine weeks ago, and compared to Harris +1.7 compared to Trump ten weeks ago.
    • Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, expresses the betting public’s odds in favor of Trump 56.9% versus Harris 43% – a much smaller margin than last week’s odds of Trump 66.5% versus Harris 33 .4%, compared to Trump compared to Harris at 23%. % points two weeks ago, compared to Trump over Harris at 14.3% three weeks ago, compared to Trump favored over Harris at 7.5% four weeks ago, compared to Harris five weeks ago favorite over Trump at 2%, compared to Harris over Trump by 3% six weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 2% seven weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 1% eight weeks ago or compared to Trump over Harris by 4% nine weeks ago or compared to Harris by a lead of 1 percentage point over Trump ten weeks ago.

    Polls and odds are constantly changing. These figures were shown as of Monday, November 4, 2024.

    Allan Lichtman announces the presidential choice for 2024

    Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election against former President Donald Trump. He claims to use a series of thirteen “keys” to make his choices, which range from economic indicators to the candidates’ charisma.

    Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the past half century, except the 2000 race in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    How accurate have the polls or odds been in the past elections?

    According to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization, the gambling favorite has lost just twice since 1866.

    The polling track record is more challenging because different pollsters surveying different audiences can often have higher margins of error. According to Pew Research, confidence in polls has suffered from mistakes in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

    When is Election Day 2024?

    Election Day is Tuesday November 5. Polls in New York are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m

    When is early voting in New York?

    In-person early voting for the general election began Saturday October 26 and ran on Sunday November 3. The early voting period has ended.

    When is the deadline to register to vote in New York?

    The deadline for the general election was Saturday October 26. All applications, including personal applications, must be received by this date.

    Please note: It is now too late to register to vote in the 2024 general election.

    How to Register to Vote in New York

    There are multiple ways to register to vote in New York:

    • Register online at elections.ny.gov
    • Register in person with your county board of elections, at a state agency voter registration center, or with the Department of Motor Vehicles
    • Register by email by requesting a form. You can call 1-800-367-8683 or request a form through the New York Voter Registration Form Request mailing list. Once the form is completed, print, sign and date the form and return it to your county board of elections by October 26.

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