Early voting data looks “a little scary” for Vice President Kamala Harris, former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina admitted Sunday.

Messina said the data — which shows a jump in early Republican voter turnout — prompted several of “my friends to call me in a panic.

“The early voting numbers are a little scary,” the 2012 Obama aide admitted on MSNBC’s “Inside with Jen Psaki.” “The Republicans didn’t do what they did last time.

“Last time (Donald) Trump said, ‘Don’t vote early,’ so they didn’t. Republicans have an advantage (this time) in the number of early votes. When the first votes come in, it’s going to look a little different than 2020, and that’s scary,” he said.

Republican turnout in early voting has risen in four battleground states, showing a split in the party, according to a set of data that a source close to the Trump campaign previously shared with The Post.

That data includes a jump of 9 points in Arizona, 9 points in North Carolina, 4 points in Nevada and 22 points in Pennsylvania from 2020 in terms of returned mail and early votes from registered Republicans.

But Messina insisted he also sees some bright spots for Harris — especially the strong turnout of female voters.

“Female voters make up 55% of early voters, and over the past 10 days, young voters in these battleground states have emerged in what appears to be historic numbers for early voting,” he said.

This could be good news for Harris, as virtually all polls say Democrats are doing much stronger with female voters than Republicans. Harris’ campaign was also keen to win over women, including by highlighting abortion rights.

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But the Trump campaign has privately relied on data from Democratic pundit Tom Bonier’s website showing that female voter turnout has fallen by about 170,011 in Arizona, 46,732 in Georgia, 204,856 in Michigan, 154,459 in North Carolina, 126,112 in Nevada, 450,802 in Pennsylvania and 238,452. in Wisconsin, relative to this point in the 2020 cycle.

In addition, voter turnout in cities in Arizona has fallen by 385,285, in Georgia by 153,846, in Michigan by 321,523, in North Carolina by 175,470, in Nevada by 191,199, in Pennsylvania by 381,519, and in Wisconsin by 100,733, compared to this point in the 2020 cycle. Dems traditionally carry urban areas.

In the 2024 cycle, the Trump-Vance campaign and Republicans generally have made a concerted effort to urge their voters to show up early in an effort to close the early voting gap that plagued them four years ago.

Ultimately, most pollsters view the presidential battle between Trump and Harris as a deadlock, and both sides believe the race will be very close.

“When you have the polls this close, you’re not really sure about anything,” former Obama adviser David Axelrod told CNN this weekend. “And it really matters who shows up because these polls are not accurate.

“This race today is filled with uncertainty.”

Axelrod also claimed that Trump is “not closing well” and alluded to recent controversies that have surfaced in the final days of the 2024 cycle, such as the Republican candidate’s joke Sunday that he “wouldn’t mind” if a sniper had to to shoot. via “through the fake news” to reach him and controversy over the comment from Puerto Rico during his rally at Madison Square Garden.

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“He’s actually supporting her message in the last week, which will make Republicans uncomfortable,” Axelrod said. “I’m sure Republicans would like to see him stick with that request a little bit more and deliver the message that they think will help him win this election.

‘But he doesn’t close well. She concludes in a much more disciplined way.

“Republicans didn’t do what they did last time,” Messina continued. “Last time Trump said don’t vote early, so they didn’t do that. Republicans have an advantage in early voting numbers. When the first votes come in, it will look a little different than 2020 and that is scary.”

Still, Messina emphasized that a bright spot for Democrats is the large turnout of women voters and other important groups.