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Tens of millions of Americans voted early: Here’s what the data tells us ahead of Election Day

On “Forbes Newsroom,” Garrett Herrin, CEO and publisher of VoteHub, discussed early voting trends on the eve of Election Day, with a special focus on the seven battleground states. On Monday, more than 76 million Americans voted early in the 2024 general election.

Herrin explained that “we see a different picture depending on the state of the battlefield.”

Nevada, for example, where six electoral votes are at stake, is seeing more Republicans than Democrats participating in early voting. This is in stark contrast to Pennsylvania, the swing state with the most electoral votes in line (19), where Democrats have surpassed Republicans in early voting.

Herrin also warned viewers to take early voting data “with a grain of salt” when it comes to predicting the outcome on Election Day. “The partisan makeup of early voting in states where we don’t have too many results, yes, it skews Democrats. But the vote on Election Day – we don’t know what that distribution will look like.”

With polls closing on Election Day, all eyes will be on the race to 270 — and Herrin argued that the vice president has the “easiest path” to winning since “Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania give you exactly 270 electoral votes if you also win.” Nebraska’s Second Congressional District.” But if any of the “blue wall” states fall to the former president, “she will have to make up ground in the Sun Belt — and currently, not a single Sun Belt state has VoteHub and the polling averages where Harris lies first.”

Watch the full interview above.