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Who to follow if you want to be the first to know the 2024 election winner
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Who to follow if you want to be the first to know the 2024 election winner

TV networks carefully organize the elections. If you want to get an idea of ​​the outcome, get online tonight before the country’s election offices feel comfortable calling what they see.

Here are some names you should follow to know the result first.

Nate Cohn.election observers‘ election point man may or may not be running the outlet’s famous Needle: A Predictive Guide to Who Each Swing State Will Be.

It was The Needle that, in one of the big moments of the 2020 election, suddenly showed Biden ahead in Georgia after temporarily going offline. That moment, tweeted by Cohn with a reference to Twin Peaks, signaled Trump’s defeat.

A strike by the company’s Tech Guild has put The Needle in jeopardy – much to the dismay of tweeting election observersAn. The best way to follow Cohn, who will run the model on his own computer when it’s not for public consumption, is via The New York Times.

Nate Silver. The nationally recognized election analyst, whose model declared the race a coin flip, will run a proprietary election night model on the Silver Bulletin, his Substack. You can also find him on Twitter, where he will certainly be prominent tonight.

Daaf Wasserman. Wasserman, who works for Cook Political Report, is known for calling an election after declaring he had “seen enough.” Trust his reading of the data, although you’ll have to find it through NBC News as he works for their decision office tonight.

G Elliott Morris. Morris replaced Silver at FiveThirtyEight, his old election site. Follow him on Twitter.

Than Pfeiffer. We’ll get results from Florida early. Here’s what Pfeiffer, the former Obama aide, will look at there: “Osceola County, near Orlando, is more than half Latino and a third of the population is Puerto Rican. If Harris overperforms in Osceola, it could be the first evidence of a backlash to the offensive joke told at the Trump rally. Such a response would be a major problem in Pennsylvania, home to more than 300,000 voting Puerto Ricans.”

Jon Ralston. Ralston is yours guide to Nevada’s 6 electoral votes. He has predicted a narrow victory for Harris here. Following him in 2020 gave you confidence that Biden had enough to beat Trump.

Conor sen. Sen was an excellent guide to why Biden led in 2020 despite discouraging early numbers. He outlined the counties we should pay attention to in Georgia to see how the margins change compared to 2020.

Adam Carlson. Carlson has merged the subgroups in national polls. He doubts whether they are correct. If so, Trump probably won.