Former TV host Kari Lake has narrowed the gap with Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego in the Senate seat race of the swing state of Arizona, according to polls.

Recent averages from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics show Gallego maintaining a narrow lead, while Lake has caught up in recent weeks and even taken the lead in some polls.

According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages, Gallego Lake leads by 4.6 points (49.3 percent to 44.7 percent). RealClearPolitics shows a similar spread, with Gallego up 4 points (49.4 percent to 45.4 percent).

Gallego has led Lake on average since April, according to both survey aggregators.

However, recent individual polls have shown some fluctuations, indicating that Arizona voters are preparing to cast their ballots.

An Atlas Intel survey conducted between November 1 and 2 found that Lake had a lead of 1.7 points (49.1 percent for Lake, 47.4 percent for Gallego). The same polling firm recorded Lake with a lead of 0.7 points (48.6 to 47.9) for a poll conducted on October 30 and 31.

Aside from two other polls last week, one from DataOrbital, where Lake led by 0.7 percent, and one from OneMessage, where the candidates were tied, Gallego has led every poll in the state since July.

More in line with the polling average, the latter New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted from Oct. 25 to Nov. 2 and released on Sunday, surveyed 1,025 likely voters in Arizona, with 50 percent supporting Gallego and 45 percent supporting Lake, giving Gallego a 5-point lead.

Despite Lake’s lead in some recent polls, the betting odds are in Gallego’s favor. According to betting exchange Polymarket, Gallego has a 78 percent chance of winning, compared to Lake’s 24 percent. This reflects the betting community’s assessment that Gallego’s consistent lead in the polls could translate into a victory on Election Day.

Newsweek has contacted both candidates’ campaigns via email for comment.

Lake rose to national prominence as a figure in former President Donald Trump’s MAGA movement after stepping down as a news anchor in 2021 to run for governor of Arizona. She ran a campaign focused on securing the US-Mexico border, protecting gun rights and protesting COVID. -19 lockdowns, ‘cancel culture’ and ‘wake up’ school curricula.

She lost the election to Katie Hobbs by just over 17,000 votes, but refused to concede because she felt the election was unfair.

Lake’s 2022 loss continued to follow her into her 2024 Senate campaign. This year, she has suffered multiple legal setbacks, including in March when she admitted to defaming a fellow Republican by accusing him of a plot to influence the gubernatorial election of 2022, and in June lost her sixth appeal against the results of the same elections.

In January, it was revealed that Lake’s Senate campaign was divisive among Arizona Republicans, when the state’s party chairman resigned after an audio recording surfaced of him allegedly offering Lake money in exchange for her staying out of politics for two years.

Gallego is the representative for a congressional district in the Phoenix area, a seat he has held since 2015.

Before politics, he served in the U.S. Marines during the invasion of Iraq. He is of Latino descent, born and raised in Illinois, and attended Harvard University.

He launched his campaign for Senate in January 2024 after incumbent Kyrsten Sinema left the Democratic Party to become an independent the month before.