There has been no severe weather in the United States in recent days. However, AccuWeather meteorologists say that will change to end the weekend and start the new work week.

The weekend started dry in Oklahoma and Texas, but that changed on Saturday evening. As moisture moved north from the Gulf of Mexico, showers and some thunderstorms developed over eastern Texas and spread northward at sunrise Sunday. Houston received over an inch of rain in less than two hours on Sunday morning.

The initial risk of severe weather will develop further west late Sunday. As a cold front leaves New Mexico and moves into Texas and Oklahoma, bringing more moisture into the region, thunderstorms will bloom around Sunday and just after sunset. As the front moves further east, the environment will become more favorable for thunderstorms to strengthen and become strong to severe.

As the thunderstorms move further east and continue through the night, they will pose an additional hazard.

“The nighttime nature of Sunday evening’s storms will pose an additional threat because warnings may go unnoticed while people sleep,” warned AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty.

All severe weather hazards, including flash flooding, hail, damaging winds and even isolated tornadoes, will be possible.

By Monday morning, the storms have largely moved into a line as they approach the Interstate 35 corridor. This will reduce hail and tornado risk somewhat, but residents and visitors to the area will still need to be alert.

“On Monday, a narrow line of thunderstorms with damaging winds could extend across much of central and eastern Oklahoma into northern Texas,” Douty said. “This could cause a wide area of ​​travel delays along the I-35 corridor,” Douty added.

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The line of thunderstorms will move further east on Monday. Flash flooding, hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will still be possible.

Outside of extreme weather, there is a risk of heavy rainfall in a much larger zone. Despite the prolonged drought, much of the plains has already received excessive amounts of rain this month.

For example, Wichita, Kansas, received 5.77 inches of rain in the first half of November. The historical average in terms of precipitation for the entire month of November is only 1.36 inches. In fact, there have been two days this month that saw more rain than the normal for the entire month: 3.13 inches on November 2 and 1.57 inches on November 8. It is already the fourth wettest November on record, and less than an inch shy of the November record of 6.69 inches set in 1909. This record is very likely to be broken.

“Much of the southern Plains has been inundated with rainfall so far this month, so additional rainfall in the region could quickly lead to flooding, especially with precipitation rates of 3 to 5 centimeters per hour in some storms,” Douty warned.

Most of the region should be dry by Tuesday as the cold front moves even further east. However, some moisture will linger in the northern plains. In that area, the air can be cold enough to cause precipitation to fall in the form of snow.

It will be the first snow of the season for parts of the Northern Plains and southern Canada.

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