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Nvidia forecast falls short of top estimates for AI Star
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Nvidia forecast falls short of top estimates for AI Star

(Bloomberg) — Nvidia Corp., the chipmaker at the heart of the artificial intelligence boom, delivered a revenue forecast that fell short of highest expectations, suggesting the company’s dizzying growth has its limits.

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Fiscal fourth-quarter revenue will be about $37.5 billion, Nvidia said in a statement Wednesday. While the average analyst estimate was $37.1 billion, forecasts ranged as high as $41 billion, according to Bloomberg data.

The outlook indicates that excitement about AI may be getting ahead of reality. Nvidia investors bid up its shares by almost 200% in 2024, making it the most valuable company in the world. But the chipmaker has struggled to keep up with demand for its products and has faced production problems this year.

Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang said Nvidia’s new lineup, called Blackwell, is now “in full production.” Demand for the highly anticipated products is expected to exceed demand in the coming quarters. And there is still an appetite for Hopper, the previous design, Huang added.

“AI is transforming every sector, every company and every country,” he said in the statement. “Industrial robotics investments are increasing with breakthroughs in physical AI, and countries have woken up to the importance of developing their national AI and infrastructure.”

But some investors were looking for more of a blowout quarter. Nvidia shares fell about 2% in extended trading after the announcement. They previously closed at $145.89 in New York.

Even with a disappointing outlook, Nvidia’s growth over the past two years has been astonishing. Its revenue is about to double for the second year in a row, and it is now making more money in profits than it used to generate in total revenue.

Nvidia’s revenue rose 94% to $35.1 billion in its fiscal third quarter ended Oct. 27. Excluding certain items, earnings were 81 cents per share. Analysts had forecast revenue of about $33.25 billion and earnings of 74 cents per share.

Nvidia’s largest division, the data center division, saw revenue double from a year earlier to $30.8 billion. That exceeded Wall Street expectations.

But network revenues within that unit have fallen sequentially, and the company is more dependent than ever on a small group of customers: cloud service providers. That cohort, which includes companies like Microsoft Corp. and AWS from Amazon.com Inc. included, accounted for 50% of data center revenue, compared to 45% in the previous period.