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What happens if Auburn upsets Texas A&M?
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What happens if Auburn upsets Texas A&M?

As we enter Week 13, it looks like the SEC Championship Game race could be quite easy. Essentially, if all goes well on Saturday, the Alabama Crimson Tide will face the winner of the highly anticipated showdown between Texas and Texas A&M in the regular season finale.

But what about the 2024 college football season, we would think there won’t be chaos in the mix.

Three of the potential SEC contenders, especially in the College Football Playoff race, are all on the road in Week 13. Texas A&M has to go on the road to take on Auburn, Alabama has to go to Norman to play Oklahoma, and Ole Miss is playing in The Swamp against Florida after the Gators knocked off LSU a week ago.

Make no mistake: A&M, Bama and Ole Miss are all favorites in those games. However, upsets can happen, and if they did in this case, it could throw the SEC Championship Game race and the SEC standings into disarray and confusion. So let’s take a play-by-play look at these three possible upsets to see what would happen.

Watching this game, you’d probably think Texas A&M would at least be a touchdown favorite, even on the road at Jordan-Hare Stadium. But no, the oddsmakers have the Aggies as just 2-2.5 point favorites on the road against Auburn. It looks like there’s more going on than we thought, which would cause quite a bit of chaos and put even more pressure on the Aggies.

If A&M loses to Auburn and then loses to Texas in the season finale, that would give us a Texas vs. Alabama matchup in the SEC Championship Game. That in itself is not surprising. Even if the Aggies win Saturday in Week 13, that would be the case if they lost to Texas.

What’s more interesting, though, is that if Texas A&M loses to Auburn, but then turns around and upsets Texas in Week 14, that would be a Georgia vs. Alabama rematch in the SEC championship game. The Bulldogs would lead A&M in the conference standings based on their conference opponent’s winning percentage.

However, it’s worth noting that if A&M were to lose while Alabama was also upset by Oklahoma, a win over Texas would be crucial because that would Georgia vs. Texas A&M the SEC Championship Game matchup.

Now for the occasion, let’s remove A&M and focus on the Norman game in Week 13. Alabama is a 14-point favorite against the Sooners as of Saturday morning, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. On the other hand, we all know that anything can happen.

If something were to happen and Alabama were to be upset, it would obviously remove the Crimson Tide from the SEC Championship Game conversation, as they would suffer a third conference loss of the season and need massive chaos to take it to Atlanta come. And the biggest beneficiary of an Alabama loss would be the Georgia Bulldogs.

An Oklahoma win over Alabama would ostensibly put Georgia in the spot Alabama currently occupies. That means that Georgia would be ready to play the winner of Texas-Texas A&M matchup in Week 14 in the SEC Championship Game. That’s actually the case whether A&M beats Auburn on Saturday or not.

Unfortunately for Ole Miss – or perhaps fortunately depending on what you believe about Lane Kiffin – the paths to the SEC Championship Game are already limited and, perhaps more importantly, a road loss at Florida wouldn’t have too much of an effect on the rest . of the SEC race.

Perhaps the biggest impact for the Rebels is the College Football Playoff. A loss to Florida would make it extremely difficult to justify Ole Miss in the 12-team Playoff field.