Alabama football’s College Football Playoff hopes were dashed in the loss to Oklahoma on Saturday. But the CFP ship may not have sunk yet.

Alabama (8-3, 4-3 SEC) picked up its third loss of the season, a 24-3 loss to Oklahoma, so the Crimson Tide’s chances of making the first 12-team playoff appear bleak. But according to the All-State Playoff Predictor, there’s still a chance.

The forecaster, shown Saturday night on SEC Network, gives Alabama a 31% chance of making the CFP, which ranks 12th among all programs.

Here are the percentages as of Saturday evening, according to the forecaster:

1. Oregon: greater than 99%
2. State of Ohio: more than 99%
3. Penn State: 99%
4. Indiana: 98%
5. Texas: 96%
6. Notre Dame: 91%
7. Georgia: 90%
8. Miami: 78%
9. Tennessee: 72%
10. Boise State: 72%
11. SME: 63%
12. Alabama: 31%

The path became much more difficult. But there is still a path. And it’s hard to say what the committee will do.

That answer won’t come for a few weeks. So for now, Alabama has to figure out how to fix everything that went wrong in the loss to Oklahoma. If the Crimson Tide doesn’t, it doesn’t matter, there’s still a 31% chance of making the playoffs.

“We have to play better,” Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer said. “We have to be better in all areas. A few simple and characteristic things that happened early in the game where we didn’t get the momentum on our side.