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WNBA Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Friday
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WNBA Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Friday

The Minnesota Lynx travel to Indiana on Friday night to take on Caitlin Clark and the red-hot Indiana Fever.

No team in the WNBA is better than the Fever, who have won five in a row and seven of their last eight games since returning from the extended All-Star break.

The only loss in that series came against the Western Conference-leading Lynx, who won 90-80 on August 24 in Minneapolis.

Can the Fever extend their winning streak to six games? If they do, it will take another Herculean effort from Clark, who just completed her second triple-double of the season.

Here’s my analysis of the Lynx vs. Fever matchup, along with a pre-game tip and a bet on a Caitlin Clark player who might surprise you, given her six-week, white-hot run as a basketball player.

Lynx vs. Fever odds

Team Distribution Moneyline Total
Lynx -2.5 (-110) -142 o169.5 (-110)
Fever +2.5 (-110) +120 u169.5 (-110)
Odds via DraftKings

Lynx vs. Fever prediction and pick

(7:30 p.m. ET, Fubo, ION)

In their last nine games, the Fever are averaging over 91 points on about 47% shooting from beyond the field and 40% shooting from behind the three-point line, which ranks them third in field goal percentage and first in 3-point percentage.

They also have by far the highest offensive rating in the league, average the most points per game and rank second in effective field goal percentage since the month-long hiatus in the W.

Unfortunately for Indiana, the Lynx are just as hot. Minnesota has won eight of its last nine, with an outlier loss to the Dallas Wings on Friday the only blip in that span.

The Lynx have one of the league’s best defenses this season, ranking third in defensive rating (0.1 behind first place), first in opponent fastbreak points per game, second in opponent points off turnovers, and first in opponent field goal percentage and opponent 3-point percentage.

Minnesota also performed exceptionally well on offense after the All-Star competition, ranking second in offensive rating and first in effective field goal percentage.

So, which team should we support on Friday night? The short answer: Take the Fever with the points.

Indiana is the only team undefeated at home since mid-July, with a 5-0 record and a comfortable lead in net rating (+10.6) and effective field goal percentage.

Plus, they have arguably the best home crowd in the W, largely due to the “Clark Effect.”

Minnesota is playing great this season, but I love how Indiana scores at home.

Choice: Fever +2.5 (-110, DraftKings)


The Lynx have frustrated Caitlin Clark from distance in two games this season.
The Lynx have frustrated Caitlin Clark from distance in two games this season. Getty Images

Caitlin Clark player prop

Clark’s last six weeks of basketball have been an incredible run for a rookie, posting 24.4 points, 10.2 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game on a ridiculous 48/37/91 shooting split.

Additionally, the average distance of her 3-point attempts this season is further from the basket than any other player in professional basketball history, including Stephen Curry and the rest of the NBA. This means she has excellent shooting percentages with unparalleled range.

At this point we’re almost out of adjectives to describe her skills on the floor.

However, Minnesota’s tricky backcourt is always a tough challenge for any player, including Clark. As mentioned above, the Lynx have one of the league’s best perimeter defenses, ranking first in opponents’ 3-point percentage.


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It’s no surprise that Clark struggles to make good passes and use distance against a Lynx team that constantly sends other defenders on her and goes over every ball screen.

That’s a super-pressed line at -170, but in two games against the Lynx, she’s shot just 26.3% (5-of-19) from deep and has failed to outscore her Friday night prop in any contest. Minnesota’s defense is the reason for that.

Choice: Caitlin Clark under 3.5 made 3s (-170, bet365)