The Las Vegas Aces dominate the Indiana Fever and look to clinch a season series win when the two meet Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The bookies are expecting tonight’s clash to be a high-scoring affair, but their last two meetings have far exceeded bookies’ expectations, and my Aces vs. Fever predictions predict that trend will continue.

Find out why in my WNBA predictions for September 13.

Aces vs Fever Predictions

My best chance
Under 178 (-110 at BetRivers)

My analysis
The Las Vegas Aces are the only WNBA team yet to defeat the Indiana Fever this season.

None of their other three matches were particularly exciting, and that’s because Vegas defends better against the Fever than anyone else.

Indiana has not scored more than 81 points in any of their three meetings, well below their season average of 84.4 and well below their post-All-Star break average of 90.7.

That’s a wild number, because the Aces aren’t a great defensive team, but they’re a nightmare for the Fever. Vegas has veteran guards who defend aggressively and physically, and that creates all sorts of problems for Fever guard Caitlin Clark.

Stopping Clark will be key — she hasn’t scored 16+ in any of their previous three games as the Aces limited her to 28% shooting from the field and 18% from downtown. The Aces guards don’t let her shoot easily, and that’s a big problem for Indiana.

The other reason the Fever have such a hard time beating the Aces, and why I’m playing the Under tonight, is tempo. Vegas plays the second-fastest tempo in the WNBA, but the games with Indiana are three of the slowest either side has played this season.

The Under is 2-1-0 against the Under in their three meetings for a reason; the Vegas guards are closing in on Clark, and they’re not giving her or the Fever any pace. I expect the Aces to employ the same strategy tonight, and for this game to end with the Under the number.

Caitlin Clark chooses: Firing blanks

My best chance
Caitlin Clark Under 21.5 points (-105 at bet365)

My analysis
We don’t place as many Under bets on Clark’s scoring props because she’s a tough cover for the other 10 WNBA teams, but we do place bets on the Under when she takes on the Aces.

Imagine limiting Clark to 28% shooting from the field and 18% from beyond the arc. That’s what the Aces have accomplished this season against a career 42% shooter who is knocking down 34% of her triple attempts, because slowing down and getting physical is Clark’s kryptonite.

Las Vegas met Clark directly at center court and she never gave up an inch. Aces guards Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young are formidable one-on-one defenders; they don’t allow the Fever guard a clean look from anywhere and on the rare occasions they do, the Vegas switch defense has an unexpected hand or two that disrupts her shot.

Expect Clark’s frustrations against Vegas to continue and for her to stay below her scoring number tonight.

Aces vs Fever parlay for the same match (SGP)

Under 178

Caitlin Clark Less than 21.5 points

Kelsey Plum More than 18.5 points

The Indiana Fever is allowing nearly 50 points a night at guard, which should open the door for Aces guard Kelsey Plum to break out and have a high-scoring night.

Plum is coming off a tough scoring night (9) but played just 24 minutes. She shot 43% from the field and 40% from downtown Wednesday night, but coach Becky Hammon decided to give Plum a little more rest than usual.

That probably won’t be the case tonight as she’ll get her minutes and the Fever stop unit will struggle to defend her. Before Wednesday’s stinker, she had 56 points in her previous two games with the Fever and I expect her to have a bounce-back night and erase her scoring prop.

Learn how to bet on a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Chances Aces vs Fever

Aces vs Fever Live Odds

Check out the latest Aces vs Fever WNBA odds for tonight.

Aces vs Fever opening chances

• Distribution: Las Vegas –4.5 (-115) | Indiana +4.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Las Vegas (-225) | Indiana (+185)
• Over/Under: More than 176.5 (-110) | Less than 176.5 (-110)

Aces vs Fever spread and Over/Under analysis

• Las Vegas opened with a low score of -4.5 (-115) and bettors quickly realized that the Aces are 3-0 and have beaten the Fever by 5+ points in their last three games this season.
• Indiana is 1-4-0 ATS in its last five games and has lost to Las Vegas by at least 11+ points in all three meetings this season.
• The Under is 8-2 in the Aces’ last 10 road games and the Under is 3-2-0 in their last five games with the Fever.

Aces vs Fever trend

The Under is 8-2-0 in the Fever’s last 10 games against a team with a straight-up winning record. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Fever.

Aces vs Fever game information

Latest injuries Aces vs Fever

Aces: No.
Fever: No.
Check out our latest WNBA injury reports.

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