After a dominant win over the Patriots and working off nine days of rest, the Jets host the Broncos on Sunday in the early NFL game period (1 p.m. ET, CBS).

Denver got its first win of the season over Tampa Bay last week, but the Broncos are in a tough spot here, playing their second straight game on the East Coast and their third road game in four weeks.

The Jets opened as 7.5-point favorites, which remained steady throughout the week. However, the total has been reduced from an open of 42.5 to 39.5.

Let’s dive into the matchup.

Broncos vs. Jets Odds

When the Broncos have the ball

On Sunday, Bo Nix had his best game as a pro against a Buccaneers defense that outscored him by 60 percent.

The rookie highlighted impressive speed, completing two of three passes of more than 20 yards downfield, but he’s also a quarterback who understands that making a profit in the NFL won’t break the bank. That’s a night and day difference from Caleb Williams, the Bears’ No. 1 overall pick, who has struggled to hold onto the ball for too long.

Nix has a tough test this week against a secondary that ranks third in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, but this isn’t the same pass rush we saw from the Jets last year.

Gang Green had seven sacks against the Patriots’ worn-out offensive line last week, but they rank just 25th in pass-rush wins and need Haason Reddick on the field ASAP.

The Broncos have struggled to find sustainable success on the field, and that is unlikely to change this week. Denver’s offensive line ranks 30th in adjusted line yards, according to FTN Fantasy, and the Jets have the fourth-best run-stop win percentage in the league.

Expect a heavy dose of passing from an offense that ranks ninth in pass play rate.

When the Jets have the ball

Aaron Rodgers turned back the clock last week and now ranks fourth on the season in adjusted EPA per game.

The cerebral aspects of the game will always be there for the future Hall of Famer, but seeing him on the run and showing flashes of mobility should be very encouraging for Jets fans. I didn’t expect to see that so early in the season after his Achilles injury.

The Broncos will cover wide receiver Garrett Wilson with All-Pro cornerback Patrick Surtain II and force Rodgers to beat them with other weapons like Allen Lazard, his ex-teammate in Green Bay who already has three touchdowns.

Breece Hall will be heavily involved in the run game, and one player to keep an eye on is Braelon Allen. The rookie rushed for 55 yards against the Patriots and could have another big game against the Broncos, who rank 19th in adjusted defensive line.

It will be fascinating to see how the Jets offensive line holds up after losing right tackle Morgan Moses. First-round rookie Olu Fashanu will step in and make his first career start. The Broncos have an aggressive defense and lead the NFL with a blitz rate of 45.7% and rank second in pass-rush wins.

Player Props: Broncos vs. Jets best bets

I don’t have a strong opinion on the spread or total in this game, but I love some of the player angles here.

Bo Nix has 18.5 pass completions in all three games thus far, and while the Jets have an excellent secondary, they are generally content to play Cover 4 and force opposing quarterbacks to push their way to make their way through the field.

Of Nix’s 113 attempts this season, 48.7% have come within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, and he’s happy with those short passes.

Betting on the NFL?

This match should also be in Braelon Allen’s favor, with fourteen chances on the season. According to PFF, the rookie running back is averaging 5.1 YPC and ranks fourth with 4.11 yards after contact per attempt.

The game script and matchup should favor Allen to continue his success on the court.

Player props to bet:

• Bo Nix over 18.5 completions (-115, bet365)
• Braelon Allen over 34.5 rushing yards (-110, BetMGM)

Why trust New York Post betting

Jacob Wayne handicaps college football and the NFL for the New York Post. He is up 84.5 units in the two sports with an ROI of 6.27%.