The Toledo Rockets (4-1) and the Buffalo Bulls (3-2) will play in a clash of MAC foes on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at UB Stadium. The matchup will air on ESPNU, with kickoff at noon ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook lines around Toledo vs. Buffalo odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Rockets enter this game coming off a 30-20 win over the Miami (OH) RedHawks in their last game. The Bulls are coming off a loss to the UConn Huskies with a score of 47-3. Against the RedHawks, Tucker Gleason led the Rockets with 318 yards on 27 of 38 passing (71.1%) for two touchdowns and two interceptions. He also carried the ball 14 times for 8 yards and one rushing touchdown. Connor Walendzak rushed for 54 yards on 12 carries (4.5 yards per carry), and added one reception for 11 yards. Jerjuan Newton led the receiving attack against the RedHawks, catching eight passes for 127 yards and one touchdown.

CJ Ogbonna went 12-for-25 with 82 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions for the Bulls against the Huskies. He also rushed 14 times for 38 yards. In that game, Messiah Burch had a game of three carries for 15 yards (5.0 yards per attempt). JJ Jenkins caught five passes on nine targets for 32 yards (6.4 yards per reception).

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Toledo vs. Buffalo Odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a complete list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:29 am.

  • Moneyline (ML): Toledo -413 (bet $413 to win $100) | Buffalo +317 (bet $100, win $317)
  • Against the Spread (ATS): Toledo -10.5 (-111) | Buffalo +10.5 (-110)
  • Top/Bottom (O/U): 44.5 (E: -110 | U: -110)

How to make Toledo vs. Buffalo picks

Prediction


Toledo 28, Buffalo 20

Moneyline

  • Choice of money line: Toledo-413
  • Toledo has been the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season. They won 3-1 in those matches.
  • The Rockets played in just two games this season as moneyline favorites of -413 or shorter, and they won both.
  • This season, Buffalo has won one of three games in which it was the underdog.
  • The Bulls have a 1-1 record in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +317 on the moneyline.

Against the spread

  • ATS choice: Buffalo +10.5
  • The Rockets have three wins in five games against the spread this year.
  • Toledo has won ATS (1-1) once this year as a 10.5-point or higher favorite.
  • The Bulls have two wins against the spread this year.
  • Buffalo has won ATS (1-1) once this season as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.

Top/Bottom

  • O/U choice: More than 44.5 points
  • Every game the Rockets have played this season has totaled more than 44.5 points.
  • The Bulls have played just one game this season that ended with a combined score of more than 44.5 points.
  • These teams combine for 53.8 points per game, 9.3 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these teams are scoring a combined 43.4 points per game, 1.1 points fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • Rockets matchups this year have an average point total of 53.4, 8.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • The Bulls’ average game total this season was 46.3, 1.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

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