Game: Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday October 12, 2024

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: truTV

Odds/point spread: Lobos (-6.5)

Total/top-bottom: 54

The New Mexico Lobos (1-4) will play the Air Force Falcons (1-4) on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at University Stadium. New Mexico opens as a 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is set at 54.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a 1-4 record for the year. The last time they took the field, the Falcons faced the Navy Midshipmen and suffered a final defeat of 34-7. At the end of the game they had 57 plays, which totaled 273 yards. The Air Force Falcons stormed the rock 48 different times and gained a total of 158 yards, giving them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 329 yards on 49 attempts, which is an average of 6.7 yards per run surrendered. Air Force surrendered 9 pass completions on 15 attempts for 134 yds, and a completion rate of 60.0%.

The Falcons have 1,245 total yards this year. When it comes to getting to the end zone, Air Force has compiled 1 touchdown through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opponent six times. As a team, Air Force has earned 71 first downs and 22 penalties for 205 yards. As a team, they average 173.0 yards through the ground game, which ranks 58th in the country. In terms of scoring, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 11.4 PPG.

The Falcons rank 70th in the nation in team defense, allowing 23.8 points per game. Opposing teams run for an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 179.2 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the season, they have given up 896 running yards in five games. In terms of passing yardage, the Falcons are allowing 935 yards, which ranks 29th in the nation. They have given up 187.0 yards per game through the pass and allowed a 62.1% completion percentage. Overall, they allow 366.2 yards per outing, which ranks 78th in the country. They have given up 3 touchdowns through the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Lobos go 1-4 in this game this season. When they last played, the Lobos walked away with a 50-40 final victory against the New Mexico State Aggies. The Lobos finished the game with 579 yards while running 77 plays (7.5 yards per play). New Mexico ran the ball 6.8 yards per carry, totaling 331 yards on 49 carries. New Mexico surrendered 35 rush attempts for 285 yards (8.1 yards per carry). The Lobos pass defense gave up a 44.8% completion percentage, giving up 189 yards on 13 on 29 passes.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 461.2 yards per game, which is good for 23rd in the country. New Mexico’s offense has totaled 505 penalties on 59 fouls, which ranks first in college football in foul play. They are averaging 199.4 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 997 yards this year. They’ve given up 6 picks while losing 2 fumbles, and they’ve managed to rack up 124 first downs. In terms of how much they score, the Lobos currently rank 48th in the country at 32.0 points per game. On the season to date, the Lobos currently have 1,309 total yards through the air and are averaging 261.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 40th in the country.

New Mexico has surrendered 1,213 total rushing yards (242.6 yards per game) in addition to its 15 rushing touchdowns on the season. They have yielded 13 touchdowns from the passing game and 260.6 yards/out, which ranks them 116th in the nation. Their defense has totaled six fumbles and one pick this season. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 333 games, which ranks them 55th in college football. The Lobos are giving up 43.8 PPG, which ranks 132nd in the nation. In total, they have allowed 219 points.

Who will win tonight’s Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh’s pick: Take the Falcons +6.5

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