Get ready for a fantastic night of C-USA football when the New Mexico State Aggies welcome the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to Las Cruces, NM.

Tonight’s clash is a quick turnaround for both sides, and my Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State predictions expect that turnaround to provide some offensive fireworks.

Read on as I explain why I like the Over with free college football picks for October 15th.

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State prediction and best bet

My best choice
Over 48 (-110 at bet365)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

We should see fireworks in Las Cruces on Tuesday night when the New Mexico State Aggies host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs for a C-USA matchup.

Under normal circumstances I wouldn’t think twice about playing the Under. Defense is the Bulldogs’ calling card. They have the best rushing defense in the conference, the fifth-best passing defense, and give up the fewest points per game (21.6).

The Bulldogs are also gaining QBs (2.25 sacks per game) and have held their opponents to 23 points or less in four of their five games. That’s a stout defense they possess, and these Bulldogs’ defense is coming up against one of the worst offenses in C-USA.

But the thing is, Tuesday night won’t be a typical game for either team. New Mexico State has a slight lead as they have had at least one extra day to prepare. The Aggies’ last game was Wednesday, but the Bulldogs played Thursday and had to travel an extra day.

That could hurt the Bulldogs. I understand that the state of New Mexico is lousy; the Aggies commit too many turnovers and their offense can’t find the end zone, but New Mexico State runs the ball decently enough. Backup quarterback Parker Awad is competent enough if Wake Forest transfer quarterback Santino Marucci can’t go.

By comparison, New Mexico State can’t stop the run or the pass, which will be a problem. The Aggies have allowed 48+ in three of their last four, and Bulldogs freshman quarterback Evan Bullock threw five TD passes against Middle Tennessee State last week. We know they can and will score the football.

That’s why I play the Over. The Aggies won’t stop the Bulldogs no matter how many days they have to prepare. Louisiana Tech has given up 21+ in three of the last four as their defense lacks focus in the second half. New Mexico State can put points on the board, so take the Over at a reasonable total.

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State same-game parlay (SGP)

More than 48.5

New Mexico State +14.5 (alt. spread)

New Mexico State is 0-5-0 ATS in their last five. They’ve been terrible, but Louisiana Tech has dropped two of the last three as favorites, and the Aggies should cover the alternate +14.5 spread.

The Aggies struggle to score at times in the first 24 minutes, but are among the top second-half scoring teams nationally (17). That number rises to 18.5 at home, and they face a defense that gives up 12.8 points in the second half, which rises to 17 in their away jerseys.

That’s why I believe the Aggies can provide coverage. The Bulldogs are the favorite this season at 2-2-0 ATS, but their lack of recovery and preparation time, combined with their lack of defensive focus in the second half, leads me to take the alternate points.

Learn how to parlay on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State

Live odds Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State

Opening odds Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State

• Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State spread: New Mexico State +10.5
• Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State Money Line: Louisiana Tech -410, New Mexico State +330
• Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State over/under: 48.5

Odds courtesy of bet365

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State spread and over/under analysis

• The spread has not changed much since opening. Louisiana Tech is 3-2-0 ATS, while New Mexico State is 1-5-0 against the number.
• Last season’s game at Louisiana Tech was close. New Mexico State scored 17 unanswered 2H points, and although the Aggies lost the game, they capped the tally.
• The over/under lookahead totals opened to 52.5 (-110), but reopened at 48.5 (-110). That number has dropped to 48 (-110) at some of our top sportsbooks.

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State betting trend to know

Louisiana Tech has reached the Over in three of the last four away games (+1.90 units / 43% ROI). Find more college football betting odds for Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State.

Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico State Game Information

Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State latest injuries

The weather between Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State

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