All four remaining MLB teams will be in action on Thursday. The ALCS advances to Game 3 with the New York Yankees at the Cleveland Guardians. The NLCS moves on to Game 4 with the Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets. The Yankees and Dodgers both lead their series with two wins, but the Mets have one win and the Guardians have none.

First up on Thursday, the ALCS shifts to Cleveland, with the Guardians facing an 0-2 check. The Yankees have outperformed in the first two games by eleven runs to five. In Game 2, despite some fielding errors, the Yankee bats did the job, landing hits that the Guardians just couldn’t keep pace with. The Yankees are heavily favored to win the best-of-seven series, but the odds for Game 3 are much closer, with neither team heavily favored to take the win on night one at Progressive Field .

Of course, anyone writing off the Guardians now might remember Cleveland’s previous series, where he went two games winless against Detroit before surviving two eliminations to make the ALCS. It’s not over until it’s over. The Guardians’ regular season wins were just two fewer than the Yankees. And yet. The Yankees won Game 2, with the Guardians using their best starter and Jose Ramirez hitting a home run. And it looks like Aaron Judge’s playoff slump is over.

The Guardians have everything it takes to win a match: can they keep this match going to a best-of-seven?

The Dodgers and Mets face off in the second game of the evening in a series that culminates in a real volley. The Dodgers eliminated the Mets in Games 1 and 3, but the Mets pulled off a 7-3 performance against the Dodgers in LA in Game 2. Now the Mets have a chance to even the series at home. But in Game 3, the Dodgers’ stars returned to form as the Mets’ defense showed serious holes. Enrique “Kiké” Hernandez homered in the sixth, then Shohei Ohtani hit a three-run homer to give the Dodgers a 7-0 lead in the eighth on Wednesday night. The final score was 8-0 and the Mets came home empty.

Game 4 is a crucial win for the Mets, with only two more chances to harness the energy of the home crowd. The Dodgers start Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who started just once against the Mets this year, in April, throwing six innings, allowing one home run and three earned runs. The Mets’ starter, Jose Quintana, started against the Dodgers in March, pitching six innings and allowing two home runs and three earned runs. The Dodgers are favorites to win both the game and the series.

Here’s a look at The Bat X’s odds and projections for Thursday’s ALCS and NLCS games.

You can buy tickets for any MLB game here.

The Pulse Newsletter

Free, daily sports updates straight to your inbox.

Free, daily sports updates straight to your inbox.

To register

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians – ALCS Game 3

Series odds: Yankees -800, Guardians +550

New York leads the series 2-0

Game 3 pitching matchup: Clarke Schmidt (NYY) vs. Matthew Boyd (CLE)

How to watch Yankees at Guardians

• Location: Progressive Field – Cleveland
• Time: 5:08 PM ET
• TV: TBS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets – NLCS Game 4

Series odds: Dodgers -375, Mets +300

Dodgers lead the series 2-1

Game 4 pitching matchup: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) vs. Jose Quintana (NYM)

How to watch Dodgers at Mets

• Location: Citi Field – Queens, NY
• Time: 8:08 PM ET
• TV: FS1
• Streaming: Fubo (free trial)

MLB game projections from THE BAT

In the tables below you’ll see details for every MLB matchup, and then a bunch of numbers (which are updated throughout the day):

• “Moneyline” shows the odds of each team on BetMGM.
• “Implied profit%” is the chance a team has of winning based on these BetMGM odds.
• “THE BAT is the probability a team has of winning based on EV Analytics projections.
• “Cashline” is how THE BAT X would determine each team’s chances.
• “Value” is the percentage difference between the probabilities and our projections.

The higher the value percentage, the better, which you can easily see by the color coding from red (bad choice) to green (good choice).

Note: On mobile, you may have to scroll to see the color-coded “Value” column on the far right of the first set of tables.

Another note: If you see old data or the tables are not showing, you may need to “hard refresh” this page, or you may have an ad blocker or other software blocking the tables from loading.

(Photo by Aaron Judge: Sarah Stier/Getty Images)