Can the Yankees end up on the right side of World Series history, 20 years after their 3-0 loss to the Boston Red Sox?

At this point it’s hard to imagine. Since Freddie Freeman’s walk-off Grand Slam in Game 1, their series with the Dodgers hasn’t felt particularly close.

It only takes one game to turn things around, and the Yankees are -146 favorites at FanDuel in Game 4 and would be the favorite again in Game 5 with Gerrit Cole on the mound.

Luis Gil will start for the Yankees on Tuesday night, while the Dodgers will throw a bullpen game.

Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4 Odds

Gil, who returned from a 20-day layoff in Game 4 of the ALCS, will receive an 11-day layoff.

He has struggled with leadership at times in his career, and that was the case early on against Cleveland before he got a respectable outing.

If Gil struggles to discover his pitches early, a game against a Dodgers team that shows elite plate discipline could be a complete disaster in the postseason.

Still, there are some positives for Gil entering this match.

The right-hander has strong underlying numbers at Yankee Stadium this season. He was hit hard only 28.3% of the time, for an average of just .184. His K-BB% of 17.1 and xFIP of 4.13 are both better than his road numbers. His stuff rates well (110 stuff+), and he can be effective as a zone pitcher, which is important against this Dodgers lineup.

It’s hard to say there isn’t pressure on Gil here, but in the eyes of many, this series is as good as over. He’s a rookie who found himself in a brutal place at home, and maybe that can help him get into a good headspace.

Gil could also benefit from a favorable strike zone with Doug Eddings behind home plate. In games guided by Eddings, the under has an ROI of +4.2% and is +25.3 units.

There aren’t exactly soft arms in the Dodgers bullpen, but some of the more dominant ones (Michael Kopech, Alex Vesia, Anthony Banda) have all pitched in every game of this series.

Long relievers Landon Knack and Brent Honeywell, who will likely figure early in Tuesday’s matchup, have xERAs of 3.78 and 5.03, respectively, this season.

This game seems like a good place to target some relatively extreme outcomes.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Gil explodes early and the Dodgers cruise to an eighth World Series title.

However, when he is there, his arsenal suggests a dominant performance is realistic, and he has put in some spectacular performances at Yankee Stadium this season.

If the Yankees are able to grab an early lead, Dave Roberts will bring in his less dominant relievers, and we might see the Yankees push back with a comfortable win of their own.

Follow The Post’s coverage of the Yankees in the postseason:

With odds of +500, I see the value in having Gil put in a strong performance and get a win. Although he hasn’t pitched out of the fifth inning in a long time, he has no limitations, and the Yankees are equally heavy favorites to win the first five innings at -150 odds.

In a similar vein, I see value in backing the Yankees to cover the run line at +136 odds at DraftKings.

I’m also betting that the Dodgers will win this series 4-2 with odds of +500.

If the Yankees can find a way in this game as they prefer, you should like their chances at home in Game 5 with Cole on the mound before having to figure out Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Game 6.

Best bets: Luis Gil to win +500 (bet365) | Yankees -1.5 (+136, DraftKings) | Dodgers win series 4-2 (+500, FanDuel)

Why trust New York Post betting

Nicholas Martin handicaps the NHL, MLB and NFL for the New York Post. He strives to include relevant game notes in articles to help bettors reach their own conclusions, but has also risen 180 units himself with verified picks in a sports betting app. You can find Nick at X @nickm_hockey.