Arkansas is coming off a 67-72 road loss at Baylor, which doesn’t cover the spread, and the game went under the 156-point total. The Razorbacks struggled shooting the ball, shooting just 41% from the field and 25% from downtown. Abou Thiero led Arkansas’ attack with 24 points and 6 rebounds.

Boogie Fland leads Arkansas in scoring this season, with 17 points, 4 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists. Abou Thiero has 16 points and 5 rebounds. Arkansas will next face Pacific, Little Rock, Maryland Eastern Shore and Illinois.

Troy Trojans example

The Troy Trojans have a perfect 2-0 record this season and are tied for first place in the Sun Belt with Texas State. They have a 1-0 road record and are 2-0 against the spread, and 1-1 on the over/under.

Offensively, Troy is averaging 81 points per game, which ranks 156th in the country, while defensively they are allowing 67.5 points per game (140th). The 49ers shot 47.7% from the field (146th) and just 30.4% from beyond the arc (252nd).

Troy is coming off a 78-61 win in New Orleans to cover the spread and the game went under the 152 point total. The Trojans played excellent defense, holding New Orleans to just 37% from the field and 20% from downtown while winning the battle for the boards (44-30). Jackson Fields led Troy’s offense with 15 points and a team-high 10 rebounds.

Tayton Conerway leads Troy in scoring this season, with 12.5 points, 4 rebounds and a team-high 6 assists. Jackson Fields adds 12.5 points and a team-high 7.5 rebounds. Troy will face Oregon, West Georgia, UTSA and Merrimack after this match.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Troy has lost each of its last twelve games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Arkansas has won 43 of its last 44 games against non-conference opponents at Bud Walton Arena.
• Arkansas has won the first half in each of its last fourteen Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Trojans will win

• Troy has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Troy has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 games.

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction

Arkansas has won all three previous meetings against Troy, going 2-1 against the spread. In their previous meeting in 2022, Arkansas won at home, 74-61. In this Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks prediction comes Arkansas as a -13 home favorite. Arkansas has been mediocre in the two games this season and I can’t make a case for backing them as big home favorites. Troy features a better offense, scoring almost 10 more points than Arkansas, and both teams are very close defensively. I expect Troy to keep this somewhat close, so take the Troy Trojans and put the points on the road.