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Betting odds NFL Week 11 2024: Bengals-Chargers odds, picks, lines
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Betting odds NFL Week 11 2024: Bengals-Chargers odds, picks, lines

The Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers will take the field Sunday night at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, as both teams look to improve their chances in the AFC playoff race.

The Chargers are 6-3 and currently hold a wild card spot in the AFC, while the 4-6 Bengals need to get some crucial wins to keep them in the race. The Bengals got some good news this week as wide receiver Tee Higgins will return to action. On the other hand, the Chargers defense has given up the fewest points per game in the league, so Joe Burrow and the Bengals will have their work cut out for them.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Chargers -1.5
Money line: Bengals even, Chargers -120
Top/Bottom: 47.5

Distribution over the first half: Bengals +0.5 (-130), Chargers -0.5 (+105)
Bengal total points: 23.5 (over -110/under -120)
Total points of chargers: 23.5 (above -125/below -105)


The props

Pass

Joe Burrow’s total passing yards: 249.5 (over -155/under +120)
Burrow total passing TDs: 1.5 (over -145/under +115)
Justin Herbert total passing yards: 249.5 (above +105/below -135)
Herbert total passing TDs: 1.5 (over even/under -130)

Rush

Chase Brown total rushing yards: 59.5 (over -135/under +105)
JK Dobbins total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -155/under +120)

Received

Ja’Marr Chase total receiving yards: 79.5 (over even/under -130)
Tee Higgins total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -105/under -125)
Ladd McConkey total receiving yards: 59.5 (over +110/under -140)
Quentin Johnston total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -115/below -115)
Mike Gesicki total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -115/below -115)
Joshua Palmer total receiving yards: 34.5 (over even/under -120)
Andre Iosiva’s total receiving yards: 19.5 (over +110/under -140)


André Snellings’ choice

Joe Burrow over 1.5 TD passes (-145)

Something happens to Joe Burrow as soon as the calendar turns from September to October. If he’s healthy enough to play, his numbers will increase in the fall, from 247.2 YPG and 1.7 TD/G in 18 September career games to 277.3 YPG and 2.0 TD/G in 42 October games until December.

This season has been no different, and Burrow enters Sunday night’s game having totaled 679 yards and nine touchdowns in his past two games. Although he will be facing a solid Chargers pass defense, Burrow just got the good news that star wide receiver Higgins will be available to play opposite Chase without injury. In five games with Higgins this season, Burrow averaged 2.4 TD/G with at least two touchdowns in four of the games.


Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Bengals are 5-0 ATS on the road, while the Chargers are 4-0 ATS at home this season.

  • The Chargers are 6-1 ATS as favorites and 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season. The Chargers have gone three straight and five of the last six.

  • Joe Burrow is 15-10 ATS in his career as an underdog and the Bengals are 4-1 ATS after a loss this season.

  • Unders are 7-2 in Chargers games, the second-highest under percentage in the NFL this season. Overs are 7-3 in Bengals games, which is the second-highest over percentage in the NFL this season.

  • Unders are 34-12 on “Sunday Night Football” over the past three seasons (8-2 this season).

  • The Bengals could reach the lower limit of their win total (10.5) if they lose.

  • Joe Burrow is 1 of 3 players to have discussed his pass-touchdown prop in each of his past two games (Lamar Jackson, Bryce Young), and he has also discussed his pass attempts in three consecutive games; his lines this week are 1.5 and 36.5

  • Ja’Marr Chase has gone through his receiving gag in three straight games, giving him the longest active streak among wide receivers.

  • Justin Herbert has gone under his completion assist in four straight games, one shy of Jalen Hurts and Deshaun Watson for the longest active streak in the NFL.

  • Quentin Johnston is one of four wide receivers to score a touchdown in each of his past two games.

  • JK Dobbins has lost his rushing attempts in three straight games, giving him the longest active streak among running backs.


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