Week 12 of the NFL kicks off with an AFC North battle between the Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) and Cleveland Browns (2-8) on “Thursday Night Football” (8:15 PM ET on Prime Video).

The Steelers are at the top of the division coming off a big win at home against the Baltimore Ravens and have won a total of five straight. Meanwhile, the Browns are toiling in last place in the North, having just been swept away by the Saints in New Orleans.

With a win on Thursday, the Steelers would improve to 9-2 and achieve a 21st straight season with a winning percentage of .500 or higher. That would match the longest streak in NFL history, also done by the Dallas Cowboys from 1965 to 1985. Pittsburgh hasn’t finished with a losing record since 2003, the year before the team drafted Ben Roethlisberger.

Russell Wilson is 3-0 in his career against the Browns, including wins with both the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos. He has an overall QBR of 89.5 against Cleveland, his highest versus a single opponent of his career and the highest mark of any QB against Cleveland since ESPN introduced the metric in 2006.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Steelers -3.5 (opened Steelers -3.5, moved to -4, currently -3.5)
Moneyline: Steelers -190, Browns +160
Top/Bottom: 36.5 (opened 36.5)

Distribution over the first half: Steelers -2.5 (-115), Browns +2.5 (-115)
Steelers total points: 20.5 (over +100/under -135)
Brown’s total points: 16.5 (over -105/under -125)

The props

Pass

Jameis Winston total passing yards: 224.5 (over +115/under -145)
Total passing TDs for Winston: 1.5 (over +120/under -155)
Russell Wilson total passing yards: 174.5 (over -155/under +120)
Wilson total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +120/under -155)

Rush

Nick Chubb total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -135/under +100)
Najee Harris total rushing yards: 69.5 (over -110/under -120)
Jaylen Warren total rushing yards: 34.5 (over -130/under +100)

Received

George Pickens total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -110/under -120)
Jerry Jeudy total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -130/under +100)
Cedric Tillman total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -115/under -115)
Elijah Moore total receiving yards: 34.5 (over -120/under -110)
David Njoku total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -125/under -105)

Anita Marks’ pick: Steelers -4

When the Browns lose, they lose by a lot, as they lose eight by four points or more. They are also 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games against Pittsburgh, and 1-4 at home this season. Mike Tomlin is on a roll and has an 8-2 ATS record. The Steelers are deep and playing for the division, the Browns season is pretty much over.

George Pickens Over 56.5 Total Receiving Yards (-110), Anytime TD Scorer (+155)

The Browns defense is terrible against No. 1 wide receivers, allowing 10 yards per attempt. Cleveland has allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers in the past four games. On the other hand, Pickens has at least 74 yards receiving in all four games with Wilson at QB.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Steelers are 8-2 ATS this season and tied for the highest scoring mark in the NFL this season. They are 18-9 ATS over the last two seasons, second best behind the Lions.

• The Steelers have played five straight games, tied for their longest single-season cover streak in the Mike Tomlin era.

• The Steelers are 4-1 ATS on the road this season and 15-7 ATS on the road since 2022. The Browns are 1-4 ATS at home this season.

• The Browns have played four straight games on short rest and are 7-2 ATS in that role under Kevin Stefanski.

• The Steelers are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite. They are also 15-6 ATS in November or later since 2022.

• The over/under of 35.5 is the lowest in all matches this season. This week, six games have started with totals under 37, and three of the six have featured the Steelers.

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