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Big 12 football scenarios for Arizona State, BYU, Colorado, Iowa State
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Big 12 football scenarios for Arizona State, BYU, Colorado, Iowa State

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The ASU football team is focused on its matchup against BYU, not on Big 12 championship game scenarios and tiebreakers.

But that doesn’t mean you can’t.

What will it take for Arizona State to reach the Big 12 title game? What about the other current top contenders in the conference, Colorado, BYU and Iowa State?

Check out the Big 12 title game victory scenarios and tiebreakers with two weeks left in the regular season.

The Big 12 told The Arizona Republic that they would not comment publicly “on possible scenarios beyond those that could occur this week,” but these are the tiebreaker and clinching scenarios, according to several reports.

Big 12 Conference Standings

  • BYU-6-1
  • Colorado-6-1
  • Arizona State — 5-2
  • Iowa State — 5-2
  • Baylor-4-3
  • Kansas State — 4-3
  • TCU-4-3
  • Texas Tech – 4-3
  • West Virginia – 4-3

Big 12 tiebreakers for the 2024 season

This gets complicated. The Big 12 has a complete tiebreaker policy on their site, but here’s a summary:

For ties between two teams:

  • Head-to-head record among the tied teams
  • Win percentage against all regular conference opponents among tied teams
  • Win percentage against the next highest ranked common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), running through the standings
  • Combined winning percentage in conference games of conference opponents (strength of conference schedule)
  • Total wins in a 12-game season
  • Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team rating score, after regular season
  • Coin toss

For ties between more than two teams:

  • The records of the three (or more) tied teams, based on the winning percentage among the tied teams
  • The records of the three (or more) tied teams compared by winning percentage against common conference opponents played by all other teams involved in the tie
  • Record of the three (or more) teams tied against the next highest ranked common opponent in the standings, running through the standings
  • Record of the three (or more) teams with a tied result based on the combined winning percentage in conference games against conference opponents (conference schedule strength)
  • Total wins in a 12-game season
  • Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team rating score), after the regular season
  • Coin toss

Big 12 Championship Match Scenarios

There are many complicated scenarios that could play out with possible four-team ties, etc., but here are the simplest scenarios that will enter this week’s conference games, according to various reports.

State of Arizona: The Sun Devils would reportedly make the Big 12 title game with wins over BYU and Arizona, unless Colorado and Iowa State also win and BYU loses its final game to Houston.

BYU: The Cougars would make it to the Big 12 championship game with wins over Arizona State and Houston.

Colorado: The Buffaloes would reach the conference title game with wins over Kansas and Oklahoma State.

State of Iowa: The Cyclones would be in the Big 12 finals with wins over Utah and Kansas State and losses to Colorado and BYU in the final two weeks.

As for the deciding scenarios on Saturday, BYU would secure a spot in the Big 12 title game with a win over Arizona State and an Iowa State loss to Utah.

Colorado would clinch with a win over Kansas and a BYU win at Arizona State, along with a Utah win over Iowa State.

When is the Big 12 Conference championship game?

The 2024 Big 12 championship game is scheduled for Saturday, December 7 at 10 a.m. MST.

It will be played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, and will feature the two Big 12 teams with the highest winning percentage in conference play.

The game will be broadcast on ABC.

The teams? We just don’t know yet.

Reach Jeremy Cluff at [email protected]. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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