Two teams in the first round of the playoffs will battle for home court advantage tonight as the Seattle Storm hosts the Las Vegas Aces.

There will be a real postseason feel, and my Aces vs. Storm predictions for September 17 explain why the Under is your best bet in this affair. Read all about it in our WNBA picks below.

Aces vs Storm Predictions

My best chance
Under 163 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis
The Seattle Storm will face Jewell Loyd and center Ezi Magbegor tonight, which is why the line has shifted so far toward the Las Vegas Aces. Maybe too far, because I still expect Seattle to take this game seriously and put on a real fight in front of the home fans.

Because the spread looks so unappealing, the total is a much better target.

The Aces have given up an average of just 73 points in their last eight games, and with Seattle missing its leading scorer and another key starter, it will be tough to break that trend.

The Storm have had mixed results on defense so far this year, though they held Las Vegas to just 65 points in the first game between these teams in June.

Seattle ranks fourth in the league in defensive rating (96.2 ppg). That number is often offset somewhat by the Storm’s quick pace of play — second in the league in most pace metrics — but it’s likely Seattle will rein in its offense with Loyd out of the lineup, resulting in fewer possessions.

Las Vegas has reached the Under in seven of the last eight games. Both teams need to take this game seriously and play their best defense.

Aces vs Storm parlay for the same match (SGP)

Under 163

Thunderstorm +8

A’ja Wilson Less than 27.5 points

If I go with the Under, I’d assume the Storm gets a generous eight points. Lower-scoring games often lead to more exciting finals, and the Aces have only won by nine points once in the first three games between these teams this year — and that game came in Las Vegas.

I’ll also take A’ja Wilson to get the Under on her scoring prop. The WNBA has never seen a scorer like Wilson, but I can’t expect her to put up 27.5 points in a tough road matchup late in the year. Wilson has only managed that total once in her last four games and has also come up short in two of her three games against Seattle this season.

Learn how to bet on a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Chances Aces vs Storm

Aces vs Storm Live Odds

Check out the latest Aces vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.

Aces vs Storm Opening Chances

• Distribution: Las Vegas -5.5 (-110) | Seattle +5.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Las Vegas -250 | Seattle +200
• Over/Under: More than 163.5 (-110) | Less than 163.5 (-110)

Aces vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis

• Both teams have struggled against the spread this season. Las Vegas is 17-20-1 ATS, while Seattle is only slightly better at 18-20.
• The Aces have won two of their three meetings with the Storm this season and are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against Seattle overall.
• The Under has a 22-16 edge in Aces games this season and also has a 21-16-1 record in Storm games in 2024.
• Las Vegas is averaging 167.2 points per game this year, while Seattle is averaging 162.2 points per game.

Trend Aces vs Storm

The Under is 6-0 in Las Vegas’ last six games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Storm.

Aces vs Storm game info

Latest injuries Aces vs Storm

Aces: There were no injuries.
Storm: Ezi Magbegor C (away), Jewell Loyd G (away).
Check out our latest WNBA injury reports.

Pages related to this topic