First place in the NFC East is on the line when the Washington Commanders (7-3) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) on “Thursday Night Football” (8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video).

It appears to be a two-team race in the division, with Philadelphia the favorite at -225 and Washington +185 on ESPN BET.

Both teams have MVP candidates at quarterback, with Jalen Hurts and Jayden Daniels having odds of 13-1 (tops among NFC players) to take home the award.

The Commanders are coming off their first home loss of the season, a 28-27 nail-biter against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Meanwhile, the Eagles are on a five-game winning streak, beating the Dallas Cowboys 34-6 last Sunday.

The NFC East rivals meet again in Week 16.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Eagles -3.5 (Opened Eagles -3.5)
Moneyline: Eagles -195, Commanders +165
Top/Bottom: 48.5 (opened 49.5)

Distribution over the first half: Eagles -2.5 (-125), Commanders +2.5 (+105)
Total Eagles Points: 26.5 (over -115/under -115)
Total points commanders: 21.5 (over -120/under -110)

The props

Pass

Jalen Hurts total passing yards: 274.5 (over -120/under -110)
Hurts in total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +120/under -155)
Jayden Daniels total passing yards: 224.5 (over -120/under -110)
Daniel’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +120/under -155)

Rush

Saquon Barkley total rushing yards: 89.5 (over -135/under +105)
Hurts total rushing yards: 39.5 (over -110/under -120)

Received

AJ Brown total receiving yards: 79.5 (over -135/under +105)
Terry McLaurin total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -130/under +100)
DeVonta Smith total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -135/under +105)
Noah Brown total receiving yards: 39.5 (over -120/under -110)
Zach Ertz total receiving yards: 34.5 (over -120/under -110)
Dallas Goedert total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -120/under -110)
Barkley total receiving yards: 14.5 (over +105/under -135)

Tyler Fulghum’s pick: Commanders +3.5

This line opened at -3.5 for the Eagles and seemed to go to -3 (which it did) rather than -4. That’s why I got in at +3.5 when I could. Even though Washington lost to the Steelers in Week 10, it was a coin flip that the Commanders could have easily won. If they had, we wouldn’t have released this song.

Nick Sirianni and the Eagles are coming off a dominant win in Dallas, but that’s mostly excused by the poor state of the Cowboys. I trust Jayden Daniels and Dan Quinn to keep this game close. Washington also lives on the money line. The Commanders can win this game outright. It should be a good one.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Information

• The Commanders are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games (not discussed last week). They are 4-1 ATS on the road this season with four straight covers.

• All five of Commanders’ road games have exceeded the total this season.

• The Eagles are 11-4 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 under Nick Sirianni, including 9-1 ATS in their last 10 and 7-1 ATS since 2022. The Commanders are 5-1 ATS at that spot since 2023 .

• The Commanders have covered as underdogs for three straight games.

• The Eagles are 0-3 ATS in their last three home games.

• The Commanders have completed three consecutive meetings, with all three matches exceeding the total.

• The Eagles are 2-7 ATS in the first quarter this season.

• The Commanders have gone through their team totals in eight of 10 games.

More from ESPN