The final day of Week 7 gives way to a “Monday Night Football” doubleheader featuring some of the NFL’s most dynamic offensive players. In the first game of the evening, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, riding a four-game winning streak, meet Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). The Ravens are the current favorites to win the AFC North at -275, while the Buccaneers have +105 odds to win the NFC South, just behind the Atlanta Falcons. The Ravens are +300 to win the AFC, behind only the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (+185). Tampa Bay has longer odds to win the NFC (+1400). The game started at Ravens -4.5 before moving to -3.5 early Monday; the total has remained the same at 50.5.

In game two, Justin Herbert, JK Dobbins and the Los Angeles Chargers head to State Farm Stadium in Glendale to take on Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. (9 p.m. ET on ESPN+). The Cardinals are 2-4 (third in the NFC West), while the Chargers have a 3-2 record (second in the AFC West). The line for the prime-time matchup on the West Coast opened at Chargers -2.5, but has since moved to Chargers -1.5 before kickoff. The total remains at 42.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Week 7 “Monday Night Football” doubleheader, with the best bets from Eric Moody and Seth Walder.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Ravens versus buccaneers

Spread: Raven -3.5
Money line: Ravens (-200), Buccaneers (+170)
Top/Bottom: 50.5

Distribution over the first half: Ravens -2.5 (-120), Buccaneers +2.5 (even)
Moneyline first half: Ravens (-175), Buccaneers (+135)
Ravens total points: O/U 26.5 points (over -130/under even)
Total points for Buccaneers: O/U 22.5 points (more than -125/less than -105)

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Spread: Chargers -1.5
Moneyline: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (+170)
Top/Bottom: 44.5

Distribution over the first half: Chargers -0.5 (+102), Cardinals +0.5 (-125)
Moneyline first half: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (-105)
Total points of chargers: O/U 22.5 points (more than -115/less than -115)
Total points of the cardinals: O/U 21.5 points (more than -110/less than -120)

The props

Ravens versus buccaneers

Pass

Baker Mayfield total passing yards: 249.5 (over -115/under -115)
Mayfield total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -125/less than -105)
Lamar Jackson total passing yards: 224.5 yards (over -110/under -120)
Jackson total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -110/less than -120)

Rush

Derrick Henry total rushing yards: 79.5 (over -140/under +110)
Jackson total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -120/under -110)
Bucky Irving total rushing yards: 39.5 (over +115/under -145)
Rachad White total rushing yards: 24.5 (over -135/under +105)
Mayfield total rushing yards: 14.5 (over +105/under -135)

Received

Chris Godwin total receiving yards: 79.5(over +110/under -140)
Zay Flowers total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -130/under even)
Mike Evans total receiving yards: 59.5 (over +105/under -135)
Cade Otton total receiving yards: 39.5 (over -105/under -125)
Rashod Bateman total receiving yards: 34.5 (over -125/under -105)
Mark Andrews total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -110/under -120)
Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (over -135/under +105)
Nelson Agholor total receiving yards: 19.5 (over +110/under -140)
White total receiving yards: 19.5 (over +110/under -140)

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Pass

Kyler Murray’s total passing yards: 249.5 (over -115/under -115)
Murray total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -125/less than -105)
Justin Herbert total passing yards: 224.5 yards (over -110/under -120)
Herbert total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -110/less than -120)

Rush

J. K. Dobbins TOther rushing yards: 79.5 (over -115/under -115)
James Conner total rushing yards: 59.5 (over -120/under -110)
Murray total rushing yards: 29.5 (over -135/under +105)
Herbert total rushing yards: 14.5 (over -105/under -125)

Received

Marvin Harrison Jr. total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -140/under +110)
Ladd McConkey total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -140/under +110)
Trey McBride total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -115/under -115)
Michael Wilson total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -130/under even)
Will Dissly’s receiving total: 24.5 (over -125/under -105)
Dobbins total receiving yards: 14.5 (over -135/under +105)
Conner total receiving yards: 14.5 (over +115/under -145)

Choices for the games

Ravens versus buccaneers

Raven -3.5.

Eric Moody: Baltimore has been solid as a road favorite, covering the spread in each of the past four games. The Ravens offense, powered by Lamar Jackson and a dominant rushing attack, leads the NFL in rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s defense has struggled allowing the seventh-most yards per game and has consistently fallen short on third downs – an area where Baltimore thrives. While the Buccaneers have exceeded expectations so far this season, the Ravens are on a four-game winning streak and have one of the most efficient offenses in the league. Baltimore is well positioned to cover the spread, even in a challenging road game.

Mayfield over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

Moody: The Ravens’ secondary was a weakness and opponents took full advantage of it. Mayfield is in a great position to do the same, especially with one of the best wide receiver duos in the league in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The Ravens defense has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers and Mayfield has passed for passing touchdowns in four of his six games this season. Baltimore’s defense has also allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game to quarterbacks, making this bet even more attractive.

More than 49.5 points.

Moody: It’s a big number for this matchup, but both the Ravens and Buccaneers are offensive juggernauts and rank in the top five for points scored per game. Baltimore has hit the over in five of the past six games, while Tampa Bay has done the same in five of the past seven. Jackson and Mayfield will be busy Monday night.

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Harrison Jr. 80-plus receiving yards (+250)

Seth Walder: This is a narrow value for me, but my alternate receiving yards model makes the fair price here +216. The core of the model, and the argument for the bet, is that not all receiver distance distributions are the same. And a key factor in this case is the type of routes Harrison runs: 47% of his routes are vertical routes, the seventh-highest rate among eligible wide receivers. At the same time, we can assume that Harrison’s median line (49.5) is efficient and that he can have value at 80-plus receiving yards because we capitalize on the extra variance receivers get from running deep routes.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

Ravens versus buccaneers

• Lamar Jackson is 27-12-2 ATS in his career on the road, including 19-5-1 ATS when not scoring at least 4.5 points.

• The Buccaneers are 10-4 ATS as underdogs since acquiring Baker Mayfield last season, including 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games as underdogs. They are straight up 2-2 and ATS as home underdogs in that span.

• Lamar Jackson is 15-7 ATS in primetime games. Baker Mayfield is 5-9 ATS in prime-time games (1-2 ATS with Buccaneers). Mayfield is 1-5 ATS on “Monday Night Football” (0-5 ATS in the past five games).

• Overs are 5-1 in Ravens matches this season, including 3-0 on the road. Three straight Buccaneers games have exceeded the total.

• Prime-time unders are 81-52-1 over the past three seasons.

Chargers vs. Cardinals

• The Chargers are 4-1 ATS this season, including a 3-0 ATS favorite. Since 2022, the Chargers are 9-3 ATS as road favorites.

• Unders are 4-1 in Chargers games this season. Unders are 6-1 in last seven games and 15-5 in last 20 games.

• Kyler Murray is 15-22 ATS in his career at home. Justin Herbert is 20-13 ATS in his career on the road.

• Prime-time unders are 81-52-1 over the past three seasons.

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