Here’s Jared Lloyd’s look at the BYU-Baylor matchups, including his final score prediction for Saturday’s game at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas:

BYU offense vs. Baylor defense

The Cougars didn’t put up great numbers against Kansas State, but took advantage of three short fields and then controlled the game with a big lead. That means BYU still has questions about consistency. The Bears have been pretty good on defense this season, despite last week’s disastrous finish at Colorado.

Edge: even

BYU defense vs. Baylor offense

The Cougars are one of two teams in the country that have yet to allow a passing touchdown. BYU finds a good balance between solid coverage and creating disruption. The Bear offense has dangerous stretches, but has scored most of its points against mediocre defenses.

Edge: BYU

Coaching

BYU head coach Kalani Sitake continues to ensure his team performs closer to national expectations. Baylor head coach Dave Aranda has failed to get things back on track in recent years, leaving some wondering if the Bears will ever move on despite his tremendous success in 2021.

Edge: BYU

Intangible assets

BYU has already won two road games, but this will be its toughest test yet as McLane Stadium has a great atmosphere. The weather should be warm, but not crazy hot. However, the early morning start gives the Bears an edge as the Cougars have not fared well in those games. BYU comes off a big win and risks a letdown, while Baylor tries to bounce back from a brutal OT loss.

Edge: Baylor

Key matchup: BYU wide receivers vs. the Baylor secondary

The Bears have a big, athletic defensive front, so it won’t be easy for the Cougars to open up a lot of running lanes, especially early in the game. That means BYU will have to open things up through the air. Jake Retzlaff has a number of receivers at his disposal, led by junior Chase Roberts, but they have to line up and catch even on contact. If the Cougars get some big plays, BYU will be in a great position to get the win.

Edge: BYU

Prediction

Both teams will make some mistakes in the beginning, but after that the match will turn into a tough, physical confrontation. Neither offense will have consistent success, but Jake Retzlaff will make some big passes to give the Cougars the lead. Baylor will score late and have a chance to rally, but the BYU defense gets a stop to close out the win.

BYU 25, Baylor 17