The College Football Playoff selection committee released its latest rankings Tuesday evening. Let’s just say there are still a lot of teams active in the CFP hunt.

In all, we ended up with 22 teams from the Big Ten, SEC, ACC, Big 12, and the Group of Five with at least a somewhat viable path to the first-ever 12-team playoff.

Let’s take a look at who they are ahead of the final weekend of the 2024 regular season.

(Teams’ chances of making the CFP, per ESPN’s Football Power Indexin brackets.)

BIG TEN

No. 1 Oregon (99.9%): The Ducks are 19-point favorites against Washington in their regular-season finale and are already in the Big Ten championship game. They’re in.

Ohio State No. 2 (99.4%): The Buckeyes, a three-touchdown favorite, must beat Michigan this weekend to punch their ticket to the Big Ten championship. Even if they somehow lose, wins over Penn State and Indiana would put Ohio State in the field.

No. 4 Penn State (98.8%): Beat Maryland and the Nittany Lions will not only be on the field, but will likely host a first-round game at Beaver Stadium. If Michigan upsets Ohio State, Penn State would be in play for a first-round bye via the Big Ten championship game.

No. 10 Indiana (97.4%): Indiana was eliminated at Ohio State in the one and only test of the year. But it doesn’t look like that matters. The Hoosiers likely won’t host a game. But being ranked No. 7 in record strength and No. 7 in game control nationally helps their cause immensely.

SEC

No. 3 Texas (97.8%): The Longhorns must beat Texas A&M to reach the SEC title game. If they lose, they’ll probably still get in. But at 10-2 it would be a conversation.

No. 7 Georgia (90.8%): Even with losses to Ole Miss and Alabama, the Bulldogs are in the SEC championship game. And unless they get blown out, they’re probably in the field.

No. 8 Tennessee (75.2%): The Vols were the biggest beneficiaries of the CFP when Alabama and Ole Miss lost last weekend. They don’t have a path to the SEC title game, but that’s okay. With their position in the rankings, beating Vanderbilt in the finals would be enough.

No. 13 Alabama (37.2%): As annoying as it may be for non-SEC fans, three-loss Alabama is still in the mix. But the Crimson Tide, locked out of the SEC title game, must beat Auburn and hope for chaos ahead. Tennessee losing to Vanderbilt, Miami losing to Syracuse and Clemson losing to SMU in the ACC title game would be a start.

No. 15 South Carolina (24%): I’m a little perplexed by this. I imagine blowing out Clemson this weekend would increase the Gamecocks’ position by three losses. But they lost to both Alabama and Ole Miss. I imagine the committee would bring one of them over South Carolina.

No. 20 Texas A&M (6.3%): The Aggies essentially control their own destiny. Only two of their losses have come in conference play. If they beat Texas, they’ll go to the SEC championship game. Beat Georgia and Texas A&M is not only in the CFP, but likely has a bye in the first round. However, the chances of beating Texas and Georgia are quite small.

No. 14 Ole Miss (6.1%): Again, it’s hard to fathom a three-loss team still alive. But if Ole Miss gets into the chaos we mentioned with Alabama and is compared to the Tide, the committee could take the team that beat Georgia more comprehensively and recently.

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ACC

No. 6 Miami (80.4%): I don’t necessarily agree that Miami is ahead of SMU. But that’s where the Hurricanes are, giving them a little more wiggle room if they beat Syracuse but lose to SMU in the ACC championship game. If you win, they get a bye in the first round.

No. 9 SMU (62.4%): The ACC has a good shot at becoming a two-bid league, but it will take a title game loser to play close. The Mustangs are already in the ACC championship game. But because of the potential expectations in general, SMU can’t stumble against Cal this weekend.

No. 12 Clemson (24.2%): The Tigers have a path to the ACC title game and a first-round bye if Miami loses to Syracuse. They could also squeak into the field at-large if they beat South Carolina and get some help from higher up in the rankings.

BIG 12

No. 18 State of Iowa (27.5%)

No. 19 BYU (25.8%)

No. 16 state Arizona (25.6%)

No. 25 Colorado (6.2%)

There are chaos scenarios where West Virginia, Baylor and Texas Tech could find themselves in the Big 12 title game. But if they made it and won, would they really be one of the five highest-ranked conference champions? Probably not. So let’s focus on the teams with realistic CFP odds.

I’m not going to break down the head-to-head, three-way and four-way tiebreakers in the Big 12 between Iowa State, BYU, Colorado and Arizona State. Just know that all four teams are alive for a spot in the conference championship and therefore the CFP. Also know that since all four teams have two or three losses, the Big 12 will be a one-bid league.

GROUP OF FIVE

No. 11 Boise State (67.8%): The Broncos are the frontrunners in the Mountain West and among all G5 teams for a CFP spot. If you win, we’ll see Ashton Jeanty.

No. 17 Tulaan (25%): Tulane is far from dead. The Green Wave are an impressive 9-2 with a spot in the AAC Championship. If Tulane wins and beats Army in the title game – and Boise State loses – the Green Wave would have a good chance to get in.

No. 22 UNLV (16.5%): UNLV is still alive at 9-2. The Rebels should defeat Boise in the MWC championship game. And with their explosive offense, they can do it.

Army (12.4%): The Army’s only loss was Notre Dame. Sure, the Black Knights are rolled. But if they go 12-1 with an AAC title, they would be an attractive option outside of the MWC.

Also something to think about: there is a world in which the Big 12 is left out of the CFP. There are 256 different scenarios in the game to determine who plays for the Big 12 title. So there is certainly a chance that a team with three or even four losses will win. That could mean the Big 12 winner isn’t one of the five highest-ranked conference champions, opening the door for another G5 team.

After last week’s slate of games, here were my projections for the first 12-team College Football Playoff.