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Denver Broncos at New York Jets: 5 bold predictions
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Denver Broncos at New York Jets: 5 bold predictions

The Denver Broncos are looking for their second win as they take on the Jets from New York on the road. It will be a tough call, but a win will mean the Broncos will be riding with confidence.

In Tampa, the Broncos also realized one of my bold predictions, and it was a big positive. My predictions for the Broncos are much more positive this week, and if they achieve them, they could go home with a 2-2 record on the season. Then the schedule becomes a little simpler.

Let’s take a look at this week’s bold predictions for Broncos-Jets.

After a confidence match against the Tampa Bay BuccaneersNix and the Broncos offense keep up the good work. Sean Payton has found plays that work and can counter the Jets’ pressure. Even if the receivers struggle to get open, Nix can attack the defense and move the ball through the air.

The Jets are allowing just 150.7 passing yards per game, the fourth-lowest in the NFL this season and the eighth-lowest passing EPA. What makes New York’s passing defense so difficult is the same as the Broncos: their pass rush.

The Jets have the second-fastest pressure rate this season, but their time to pressure is 2.67 seconds. As the Broncos figure out their quicker passing game against the Buccaneers, that will be their path to success for this prediction.

Prediction: Bo Nix threw for over 300 yards, two touchdowns and over 75 rushing yards.

This prediction isn’t too bold, as the Jets have had serious issues stopping the run this season. They have allowed the 10th highest rushing yards per game at 129.3 (3.3 yards more than the Broncos’ season average) and have the lowest run stuff rate at 9.9%. The Jets are tied for the fifth-most runs of more than 10 yards, and teams are averaging 4.8 yards per rush.

The inconsistency of the Broncos’ running game makes this prediction quite bold. The Broncos are averaging 99.7 rushing yards per game, 12th lowest, as is their rushing EPA.

Additionally, the Broncos are barely in the top half (14th) with the lowest run stuff percentage allowed at 15.3%. If Denver’s offensive line and running backs can find consistency against the aggressive Jets defense, Tyler Badie should get over 100 yards as he is the one Payton should be looking to with the hot hands controlling the ball.

Prediction: Badie gets the first 100-yard rushing game of his career.

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The Jets have done a great job of protecting Aaron Rodgers, while the Broncos have done a great job of getting to opposing quarterbacks. The Jets are the immovable object against the unstoppable force of the Broncos.

The weak link for the Jets was their left tackle, who fouled on 43.8% of pressures on Rodgers, second-highest in the NFL. This is an opportunity for Nik Bonitto to emerge even more as a player, with Baron Browning on injured reserve. Bonitto had a successful match against Tristan Wirfs from Tampa.

If Morgan Moses isn’t ready to go, that opens the door for Jonathon Cooper. The Jets’ interior line has done well, including keeping Jeffery Simmons at zero pressure.

So this could be difficult for Zach Allen and the Broncos’ other down linemen. The Broncos need Bonitto and Cooper to spread the line and create opportunities for the linemen. With tight coverage, the Broncos manage to get home often.

Prediction: The Broncos sack Rodgers at least five times (he’s only been sacked five times in three games).

The Jets’ running game has not taken off this season, as they are barely exceeding 100 rushing yards per game. Where the Broncos’ pass rushes into the Jets’ pass blocker is the unstoppable force against the immovable object, this is the to stop force against the movable object. The Jets can’t run the ball consistently, while the Broncos defense struggles to stop the run consistently.

Braelon Allen has passed in a limited count, but his rushing style plays to the Broncos’ strengths against the run. Breece Hall has struggled, but his running style attacks where the Broncos have struggled.

Alex Singleton’s injury puts more pressure on the Broncos defense to stop the run. Despite this, the Broncos find a way to get it done and prevent the Jets from controlling the pace of the game.

Prediction: Broncos hold the Jets to under 70 total rushing yards.

The Jets have some personal feelings about this game, but not as many as last year. In Week 5, the Jets were penalized nine times, while the Broncos only drew four flags.

The Jets have been more disciplined this year, committing 18 penalties in three games, the 15th fewest this season. That said, emotions come out against the Broncos, leading to fouls and penalties. Once again, they are flagged at least twice as often as the Broncos.

In their last four games, the Broncos have been penalized 22 times, compared to 39 times for the Jets, eight times for the Broncos and 20 times for the Jets in their last two.

Prediction: The Jets receive twice as many penalties as the Broncos.

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