• WR Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins — 70.5+ receiving yards: Tua Tagovailoa And Tyreek Hill are steadily building their chemistry, with Hill quietly productive despite the modest volume. Since Tua’s return, Hill has exceeded his yardage limit in every game, averaging 2.34 yards per route.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Game overview

The Week 10 slate concludes Monday night with an intriguing matchup between the Dolphins and Rams – two teams that many had counted on early in the season. However, both have gained renewed momentum in recent weeks, paving the way for an explosive matchup.

Sean McVay’s Rams have been revitalized with the return of star receivers Kuiper Kupp And Puka Nacuawhich has strengthened their ability to maintain incentives and retain leads. Since Kupp and Nacua rejoined the lineup in Week 8, Los Angeles has posted back-to-back wins, both head-to-head and against the spread. This stretch included an upset victory over Minnesota and a successful cover as road favorites against Seattle.

On the other hand, Mike McDaniel’s Dolphins have also been re-energized with the return of Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback, bringing a new spark to the offense. While they are yet to get a win since the return of their franchise QB, they covered the spread last week against Buffalo and improved to a solid 2-1 against the spread on the road since October.

While Miami’s revamped offense hasn’t fully exploded yet, it has been very efficient. Over the past two weeks, the Dolphins led the NFL in EPA per play and boast the league’s highest success rate on offense (46.8%). They also rank second in late-down conversion rate (66.7%), which underlines their ability to maintain drives and take advantage of key situations.

This will be a substantial test for a young Rams defense that has shown noticeable improvement and has ranked in the top four in EPA allowed per game since early October.

The Rams’ rookie class continues to thrive as they have found key contributors everywhere from first-round defensemen Jared Vers (winner of PFF’s midseason Defensive Rookie of the Year) to undesigned free safety Jaylen McCollough (who has three interceptions in the last three games), all of whom rank in the top three overall among freshman defensemen this season.

WR Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins: Over 70.5 receiving yards (-110)

Tua Tagovailoa And Tyreek Hill are steadily building their chemistry, with Hill quietly productive despite modest volume. Since Tua’s return, Hill has exceeded his yardage limit in every game, averaging 2.34 yards per route. Hill led the Dolphins with 152 receiving yards over that span and has maxed out at his target percentage of 21.5%, a relatively low percentage by his standards.

While the Rams’ defense has improved overall, they continue to struggle in coverage, often allowing them to make big gains. They have awarded this yardage mark to five different receivers in their last four games. Notably, they surrendered a total of 295 receiving yards to the Viking star Justin Jefferson and Seahawks rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba in their last two games, suggesting Hill has a favorable chance for another productive outing.