The New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons face off in an NFC South battle on Sunday afternoon. New Orleans is coming off its first loss of the season, losing in a 15-12 final to Philadelphia last week. Atlanta is looking to bounce back from a 22-17 loss to Kansas City, which came after a 22-21 win at Philadelphia the week before.

Kickoff is Sunday at 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. By SportsLine consensus, the Falcons are favored by 2.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. odds. Saints, while the over/under is 41.5 points. Before you watch a Saints vs. Falcons pick, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 since inception for $100 players on the top-rated NFL picks. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 188-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-22 roll since Week 7 of 2022 on the area of ​​top-rated NFL picks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch based on direct NFL picks four of the last six years, beating over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Everyone who has followed it is way above.

The model has Falcons vs. Saints simulated 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning forward, and it is generated a point-spread choice that is used in more than 60% of simulations!

So who wins Falcons vs. Saints, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the computer model that crushed its NFL picks.