The Iowa pollster, who surprised pundits and politicians this weekend with a poll showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the state, said the poll was indicative of a modern reality: Abortion has brought Democrats together.

J. Ann Selzer, whose pre-election polls have long predicted the final outcome in Iowa, said on MSNBC’s The weekend that she didn’t have “as much data as we would like about why this is happening,” referring to the Des Moines Register A poll showed Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points. However, she said the data was consistent with the coverage the paper’s political reporters pursued during the election.

“Our consensus from the reporters who work this way is that the abortion ban went into effect last summer,” Selzer said, according to the newspaper. Daily mail. “I think it got people interested in voting.”

Selzer, who has been described as the “best pollster in politics,” acknowledged that voters could swerve to Trump on Election Day, but she had personally seen fewer signals from Trump than in 2020.

The poll was widely derided by Republicans, including Trump. “All the polls, except one heavily skewed to the Democrats by a Trump hater who called it completely wrong last time, have me WAY positive,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “I LOVE THE FARMERS, AND THEY LOVE ME.”

An Emerson College poll showed Trump ahead by 10 points in Iowa, and a New York Times/Siena polls showed the two tied in several swing states, marking a historically close election — with the potential for some surprises.