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Harris and Stein tied for the Muslim-American vote in the final poll before Election Day
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Harris and Stein tied for the Muslim-American vote in the final poll before Election Day

A large group of Muslim Americans have split their votes evenly between Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, according to the latest national poll on Muslim Americans released ahead of the upcoming US presidential election on November 5 .

The poll, released Friday by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (Cair), shows Stein and Harris are statistically on equal footing in the American-Muslim vote, with 42 percent now favoring the candidate of the Green Party and 41 percent support the Democratic candidate. The poll has a margin of error of 2.5 percent.

A Cair Poll released on August 29 also found Stein and Harris tied for the Muslim-American vote, with 29 percent of respondents saying they planned to vote for Stein and 28 percent planning to vote for Harris to vote.

According to Friday’s poll, Donald Trump is expected to draw about 10 percent of the Muslim American vote, which is relatively unchanged from his level of support in August.

The increase in those planning to support Harris and Stein appears to stem from the number of previously undecided Muslim-American voters, which stood at 16 percent in August and dropped to just 0.8 percent in Friday’s poll.

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“This latest national poll of American Muslim voters confirms that our community members are deeply invested in the 2024 election, with 95 percent saying they plan to vote,” Cair said.

‘Significant decline in support for major candidates’

The report reveals increasingly visible electoral fault lines within the Muslim-American community, with more Muslims choosing not to vote for the Democratic presidential candidate than in previous years.

A 2020 Cair poll found that 69 percent of Muslims voted for Joe Biden in the previous presidential election.

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“The significant decline in support for major presidential candidates compared to 2020 and 2016 is almost certainly a result of community concerns about the genocide in Gaza,” Cair said.

According to a 2017 Pew Study, Muslims make up approximately 3.45 million people in the US, many of whom live in various swing states in the US. Cair published data in late August showing there were 2.5 million registered Muslim voters in the country.

Palestine, and by extension Israel’s war on Gaza, is an issue that is at the top of the priority list for many Muslims this time around, even beyond domestic concerns.

That outrage has emerged in a number of ways, including mass protests in major American cities and on college campuses, and through voter outreach efforts.

‘I’ve had enough’

The Abandon Harris Campaign (formerly Abandon Biden) is urging Muslims, Arabs and voters against the war on Gaza to cast their votes for a candidate other than Harris – a protest vote to show their widespread disapproval of her administration and the support of the campaign for Israel. .

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“We need to start looking like independents who can go both ways, so that both parties seek our approval, so that we begin the process of moving the two parties toward Muslim Americans,” said Hassan Abdel Salam, a leader in the Abandon. Harris movement, told Middle East Eye.

Saad Husain, a 62-year-old from Canton, a city in Wayne County, Michigan, told MEE that he voted for Stein because of the Biden administration’s support for Israel’s war on Gaza. He was unaffected by the Democratic Party’s labeling of Trump as “the lesser evil,” saying, “I’ve had enough.”

However, Trump is doing better than Harris in the swing state of Michigan, where both candidates are fighting for every vote. In an August Cair poll, Trump had 18 percent of the Muslim vote in Michigan, while Harris trailed with 12 percent.

CBS News reported Friday that Trump is set to visit Dearborn, Michigan, home to one of the largest Muslim populations in the US.