Nevada: Trump is ahead 48%-47% in Nevada, according to a CNN/SSRS poll released Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points), Harris is up 48.8%-48.3%, according to a Bloomberg poll Wednesday (margin of error 5 ), but Trump is ahead 47%-46% in an October 22 AARP poll (margin of error 4) and they are tied at 48% in an October 21 Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.8 ). Harris leads by 0.2 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Arizona: Harris leads 48%-47% in the CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.4), Trump leads 50%-49% in a Marist poll released Thursday (margin of error 3.7) and Trump is ahead by three points: 49% -46% – in the Washington Post-Schar School poll (margin of error 5), but Bloomberg reports an essentially equal lead of 49.1%-48.8% over Harris, within the three-point margin of error. Trump is up 1.8 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Michigan: Trump leads Harris 49%-48% in an Emerson poll released Tuesday (3 point margin of error), while Harris’ lead of 49.6%-46.5% marks the largest lead among all states surveyed by Bloomberg, but it is still within four points. margin of error – and it compares to Harris’s 49%-46% lead in the Quinnipiac poll (margin of error 2.9) released on October 23. Harris is up 0.7 points in Michigan in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied at 49% in the Marist poll (margin of error 3.9), and Trump leads 49.9%-48.4% in the Bloomberg poll (margin of error 3) and 47%-43% in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters came out Tuesday (margin of error 3.1), while the Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.5) showed Harris with a 51%-47% lead. Trump leads by 1.5 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

North Carolina: Trump is up 50% to 48% in the Marist poll — within the 3.6-point margin of error — and he’s up 50% to 48% in an Emerson College poll released Thursday (also within the 3.1-point margin of error ), while the Bloomberg poll showed him leading 49.6%-48.5% (margin of error 4) and the Washington Post-Schar poll showed him leading 50%-47% ( margin of error 3.9). FiveThirtyEight’s average shows Trump with a 1.2-point lead.

Wisconsin: The state is about as close as it gets, as Trump is up 49% to 48% in the Emerson poll (margin of error 3.4), 48.3%-48% in the Bloomberg poll (margin of error 4), and the two candidates are In a Quinnipiac poll on Wednesday, the score was 48% (margin of error 2.9), while Harris has a 50%-47% lead in the Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.6). Harris is 0.1 point higher than the FiveThirtyEight average.

Pennsylvania: Trump leads 49% to 48% in the Emerson poll (margin of error 3.4), while Bloomberg found Harris 50%-48.2% higher (margin of error 3), and she had a 49%-47% lead in the Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.6). Still, Trump leads Harris by 0.3 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.