After seeing their Premier League title hopes further diminish this weekend, Arsenal must now refocus on a tough Champions League battle when the Gunners visit Italian giants Inter on Wednesday.

The Gunners dropped points for the fifth time in ten league games as they went down 1-0 to Newcastle. They managed to keep all eleven players on the pitch for 90 minutes, but were unable to generate much attacking firepower. They dropped to fifth place in the table, now no less than seven points behind leaders Liverpool.

They are in a reasonably strong Champions League position with seven points from their first three games, but European road games have continued to thwart Mikel Arteta over the years, and this is as difficult as it gets.

After reaching the Champions League final two seasons ago and winning the Scudetto last year, Inter are in a period of revival on both the domestic and European stages. They are just a point behind the top of the Serie A standings and are also among the all-important top eight in the Champions League, while they have yet to concede a single goal in European play this season.

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Inter Milan vs. Arsenal prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: Inter (+160)
• Score prediction: Inter 2-0 Arsenal

To put it plainly: Arsenal are performing terribly poorly in European competition under Mikel Arteta.

Since the Spaniard took over in December 2019, Arsenal have won less than half of their European games (9 out of 19), with eight of their nine victories coming in the Europa League. In the Champions League last season and this season combined, they won just one (in Seville last October) of their six away games, losing three and drawing two.

Inter have not conceded a goal in three Champions League matches this season, including the heroic performance on the road at Man City. At home in European football, Inter have only conceded six goals in eleven home games since the start of the 2022/2023 season. Five of these were a 2-0 defeat to Bayern at the start of the 2022 group stage and a 3-3 defeat to Bayern. draw with Benfica in the quarter-finals, with the aggregate victory largely completed. Remove those two games, and that’s it conceded one goal in their last nine European home games.

Match facts between Inter Milan and Arsenal

• Date: Wednesday November 6, 2024
• Kick-off time: 9:00 PM local (3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT)
• Location: San Siro (Milan, Italy)
• Referee: Istvan Kovacs (ROM)
• Last meeting: Inter 1-5 Arsenal (November 25, 2003 | Champions League)

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Inter Milan vs Arsenal best bet

• Choose: Scoreless first half (listed as “1st Half Result – Draw and less than 1.5 goals in total”)
• Chances: +160 (BetMGM)

No one in the Premier League has faced fewer shots in the first half of the game than Arsenal. No one in Serie A has faced fewer shots in the first half of the match than Inter.

Against Man City in their scoreless draw on the road, Inter held their Premier League opponents under 1.0 xG in the first half, even outscoring City 10-9, with just four combined shots on target between the two sides and one combined great opportunity.

Neither team will be happy to open the attack in the opening 45 minutes. Arsenal are probably happy to come away from the San Siro with a draw and Inter don’t want to risk falling behind unnecessarily. Unless there’s a fluke goal or moment of brilliance (which, to be fair, is certainly possible), this match will reach halftime without an opener.

Inter Milan vs. Arsenal prop bet

• Choose: Marcus Thuram to score or assist a goal
• Chances: +160 (FanDuel)

• Choose: Marcus Thuram 2+ shots on target
• Chances: +290 (FanDuel)

No one has scored more goals in the past month than Marcus Thuram. The France international has yet to really become a consistent threat in front of goal, but he remains a consistent influence in the attacking third regardless of whether he puts the ball in the net.

After an explosive start to the season, things have dried up a bit for Thuram, but that can easily be chalked up to simple random variance rather than a sign of a decline. He came off the bench to score a late winner against Young Boys in their last Champions League match, and he has scored two or more shots on target in three of his last five appearances in Serie A. What’s more is that five of his seven league goals and four of his five assists came at San Siro.

Although Lautaro Martinez is the club’s main goal threat in league matches, in the Champions League he often takes a back seat to other individuals, whether by design or performance. Marco Arnautovic started the Young Boys match up front in place of Thuram, but that proved to be a big mistake as he was rotten through open play and missed a penalty, so expect Thuram to be back in the XI here.