Dallas Cowboys star quarterback Dak Prescott is out for the season after undergoing surgery on his injured hamstring, drafting backup Cooper Rush to start against the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football in Week 11.

Rush struggled against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 10, but Dallas owner Jerry Jones expressed his confidence in Rush as Dallas’ season was hanging by a thread heading into tonight’s game.

While oddsmakers expect the Cowboys to lose this game with Dak out, there may be a better bet than simply fading Dallas on Monday.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

I shared my favorite bet for this matchup on Saturday in our NFL best bets:

Houston Texans-Dallas Cowboys UNDER 42 (-108)

Do we really think Cooper Rush is going to turn things around for Dallas after completing just 13 of his 23 passes for 45 yards in Week 11?

Jerry Jones expressed his confidence in the backup quarterback this week, but I’m far from sold on a tough Houston defense.

Houston has been the best UNDER team in the NFL this season and ranks sixth in the NFL in EPA/Play on that side of the ball.

While the Texans may be able to move the ball against a Dallas defense that has given up the fifth-most points in the NFL, Stroud hasn’t looked as good as he did as a rookie this season.

The return of Nico Collins could boost the Houston offense, but will it be enough to reach 42 combined points?

Consider that Dallas scored just six points against the Eagles (15th in defensive EPA/Play) in Week 10 and that Rush was cheated by a turnover inside the five-yard line at one point in the game.

I don’t think we can trust this Dallas offense to score enough to go OVER this total, and Houston can be content with just running the ball – Dallas is allowing 4.7 yards per carry – and chewing it up the clock when it rises early.

The odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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