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Jim Miller vs. Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds
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Jim Miller vs. Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

Jim Miller vs. Damon Jackson

UFC309

Madison Square Garden in New York

Saturday November 16, 2024

Jim Miller will enter the Octagon against Damon Jackson at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. The opener has Miller listed at +142, while Jackson comes in at -170.

Jim “A-10” Miller steps into the cage with a record of 37-18-0 (1 NC). The 41-year-old weighs 155 pounds and checks in at 5’8″. The left-handed fighter reaches 71″. Damon “The Leech” Jackson is 6 feet tall and weighs 140 lbs. The switchfighter enters the Octagon with a score of 23-7-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old increases his range 71″. In regards to significant strikes, Jim Miller connects at 2.99 per minute, while Damon Jackson lands 2.90 significant strikes per minute. Miller connects on 42% of the significant strikes he tries, and Jackson connects on 42%. As for their defense in the cage, “A-10” absorbs 3.50 significant strikes per minute and “The Leech” Miller also blocks 56% of significant strikes away from his opponent, while Jackson can defend against 48% of attacks thrown his way.

Jim Miller vs. Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds












UFC309 Jim Miller Damon Jackson
Opening odds +142 -170
File 37-18-0 (1 NC) 23-7-1 (1 NC)
Average battle time 9:49 10:21
Height 5’8″ 5’11”
Weight 155 pounds 155 pounds
Range 71″ 71″
Strokes per minute 2.99 2.90
Remarkable accuracy 42% 42%

As far as wrestling goes, Jim Miller is not that effective as a grappler as he is taken down 1.53 times every 15 minutes. Miller takes his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his attempts and defends 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Jackson scores a takedown on 34% of the takedowns he attempts and stops 37% of the attempts against him. As for choosing the sub, Miller is the more capable of the two fighters attempting 1.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Jackson attempts 1.2 finishes per 3rd.

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In his previous fight, Jim Miller faced King Green and was on the losing side of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Green landed 187 of the total 320 punches he landed in that fight. Miller finished the evening with 58 of a total of 145 attacks. When it comes to significant strikes, Green scored 186 out of 319, giving him a 58% percentage. He finished the fight, landing 136 of 245 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Miller landed 39% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 57 of 144. Of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 103 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes made by Green and 96% of those by Miller were counted from distance.

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In the last fight for Damon Jackson, he took on Chepe Mariscal and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Mariscal landed 10% of his significant strikes from range and Jackson connected on 15% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance . Jackson ultimately connected on 65% of his significant strikes by connecting on 32 of 49. Ultimately, he landed 5 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mariscal scored 73 out of 100 major attacks in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ultimately landed 59 of 86 aimed at the head. When discussing the total number of punches he unleashed, Mariscal was 218 of 267, while Jackson ultimately connected on 49 of 72 total punches.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional fight not to be missed is when Marcin Tybura takes on Jhonata Diniz. Tybura comes into this fight with a mark of 25-9-0. The 39-year-old weighs 249 pounds and stands at 6’3″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78″. Diniz measures 6-foot-1 and weighs 254 pounds. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach by 79 inches. In terms of takedowns, Marcin Tybura takes down his opponents 1.42 times per 3rd, while Jhonata Diniz scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Tybura tags his opponents at 3.57 punches per minute and lands 48% of the punches he attempts. The other man in this fight is Jhonata Diniz, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has landed and averages 4.09 per minute.

Another fight to watch is when Ramiz Brahimaj is set to clash with Mickey Gall. Gall comes into this fight with a mark of 7-6-0. The 32-year-old registers a weight of 170 lbs and stands at 6’2″. The switch fighter has an arm span of 74″. Brahimaj measures 6-foot-1 and weighs 170 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach by 72 inches. In wrestling, Mickey Gall blocks 37% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and gets his opponent to the mat on 32% of his attempts. Brahimaj takes his opponents to the mat on 35% of his attempts and thwarts 44% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the striking category, Gall absorbs 4.55 punches/minute and deals 3.33 punches per minute. Brahimaj also achieves 3.69 strikes/minute and distributes 1.74 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: take Jim Miller (+142)

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